HFC asks

Will there be any single day in December 2017 during which 15 or more Ukrainian military personnel are killed?

Started Nov 29, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2017 07:59PM UTC

On November 23, 2017, five (5) Ukrainian servicemen were killed in a military clash (Front News). Question will resolve as "yes" if credible media report that 15 or more Ukrainian military personnel (to include contractors or civilian employees of the military) were killed on any single day in December 2017. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 124
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 218
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.001
2.
-0.001
3.
-0.001
4.
-0.001
5.
-0.001

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username