Will North Korea launch a land based missile with the capacity to reach Alaska, Hawaii, or the continental United States before 1 January 2017?
Started
Sep 01, 2015 04:37PM UTC
Closed Feb 06, 2016 10:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 06, 2016 10:00PM UTC
Challenges
A launch for military or testing purposes would count, i.e., www.nytimes.com/2012/12/24/world/asia/north-korean-rocket-had-military-purpose-seoul-says.html . The success of the launch, and the actual distance traveled, are irrelevant.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 42.00% | |
No | 58.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 517 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1582 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |