The Economist asks
Before 1 October 2018, will the U.S. provide notice of intent to withdraw from NAFTA?
Started
Dec 12, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
President Trump has repeated his campaign commitment to either negotiating better terms with Mexico and Canada or risk the United States withdrawing from NAFTA (CNN, Bloomberg, NAFTA Secretariat). Under Article 2205 of the agreement, any party can withdraw six months after providing written notice (NAFTA Secretariat).
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This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 October 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 October 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 5.00% | |
No | 95.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 877 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 2292 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |