The Economist asks
Before 1 October 2018, will either Russia or the United States announce that it is suspending its participation in or withdrawing from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty?
Started
Jan 10, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 30, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Closed Sep 30, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
For more information on the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty see: U.S Department of State. Accusations of violations by both sides puts the future of the INF Treaty in question (Deutsche Welle).
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This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 October 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 October 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 1.50% | |
No | 98.50% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 639 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1386 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |