The Economist asks

Before 1 October 2018, will either Russia or the United States announce that it is suspending its participation in or withdrawing from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty?

Started Jan 10, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 30, 2018 06:59AM UTC

For more information on the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty see: U.S Department of State. Accusations of violations by both sides puts the future of the INF Treaty in question (Deutsche Welle). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 October 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.50%
No 98.50%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 639
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 1386
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.006
2.
-0.006
3.
-0.006
4.
-0.006

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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