Will Afghanistan's Parliament confirm a Minister of Defense before 1 July 2016?

Started Nov 24, 2015 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 20, 2016 06:59AM UTC
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 25.00%
No 75.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 188
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 1235
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.708907
2.
-0.698359
3.
-0.697994
4.
-0.691795
5.
-0.684751

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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