Will Rachel Morrison win the 2018 Academy Award® for Best Cinematography?

Started Jan 31, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 05, 2018 03:40AM UTC

Rachel Morrison is the first woman to be nominated for an Academy Award® for Best Cinematography (The Oscars, Variety). To enable night of forecasting, this question will remain open through the end of March 4th. Forecasts made through roughly 15 minutes prior to the award announcement will be scored. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
This question closed on outcome "No." Roger Deakins won the 2018 Academy Award for Best Cinematography. (The Washington Post) See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 17.50%
No 82.50%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 126
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 173
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.074
2.
-0.074
3.
-0.074
4.
-0.074

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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