The Economist asks

Which country will win the 2018 FIFA World Cup?

Started Feb 07, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 15, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Challenges
Tags
Society   Sports  

The 2018 FIFA World Cup is scheduled to take place in Russia from 14 June to 15 July 2018 (The Economist). Thirty two teams qualified for the tournament and are set to compete (FIFA). For the latest rankings, see: FIFA. To enable forecasting during the game, this question will remain open through the end of the championship game but will only be scored through 12:30 pm ET. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
France won the 2018 FIFA World Cup. This question closed as "France" with an end date of 15 July 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Argentina 0%
Belgium 0%
Brazil 0%
France 57%
Germany 0%
Poland 0%
Portugal 0%
Russia 0%
Spain 0%
Switzerland 0%
Another country 43%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 542
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 1795
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.596
2.
-0.566
3.
-0.519
4.
-0.44
5.
-0.379

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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