The Economist asks

Before 1 October 2018, will the water ministers of Egypt, Ethiopia, and Sudan meet to resume technical negotiations over the Renaissance Dam?

Started Feb 07, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 05, 2018 05:00PM UTC

Water ministers refer to Egypt's Minister of Water Resources and Irrigation, Ethiopia's Minister of Water Irrigation and Electricity, and Sudan's Minister of Electricity and Water Resources. Construction of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), located in Ethiopia, is more than halfway complete. However, ongoing technical negotiations between Egypt, Ethiopia and Sudan have hit a roadblock as Egypt has concerns over its downstream access to Nile water (Arab News, Stratfor, Global Construction Review). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
All three water ministers of Egypt, Ethiopia, and Sudan met to resume technical negotiations over the Renaissance Dam. This question closed as "Yes" with an end date of 5 April 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 75.00%
No 25.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 227
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 403
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.263
2.
-0.263
3.
-0.255
4.
-0.254
5.
-0.24

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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