The Mack Institute asks

On 29 June 2018, how many public hydrogen fueling stations will be available in the United States?

Started Feb 28, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 29, 2018 06:59AM UTC

Hydrogen fueling infrastructure is expanding (U.S. Department of Energy's Alternative Fuels Data Center (AFDC)). Air Liquide, in partnership with Toyota, has announced the creation of a chain of 12 hydrogen fueling stations in the Northeast, stretching from New York to Boston (NY Times). Honda has also announced that an additional 36 stations will be built in California (LA Times). The State of California has earmarked $200 million for as many as 100 new hydrogen stations in the next several years, and car manufacturers and energy providers are working together to make it happen (Green Tech Media). This question will be resolved using data for public hydrogen fueling stations from the AFDC. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
As of 29 June 2018, there were 40 public hydrogen fueling stations available in the United States. This question closed as "fewer than 45" with an end date of 29 June 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Question clarification
Issued on 04/04/18 03:29pm
The Department of Energy modified how their website displays data for public hydrogen fueling stations. To obtain the total, you now need to select "Include non-retail locations" on the top-right of the map of the resolution page (AFDC).
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 45 95%
Between 45 and 55, inclusive 5%
More than 55 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 195
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 435
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.092
2.
-0.092
3.
-0.091
4.
-0.091
5.
-0.09

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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