The Economist asks
Before 1 October 2018, will a referendum repealing or amending Ireland's 'right-to-life' Eighth Amendment pass?
Started
Mar 07, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 25, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 25, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Challenges
Tags
There is growing discussion regarding the repeal of Ireland's Eighth Amendment, which bans most abortions (Irish Statute Book, Irish Times). Prior to the referendum, the government will publish a bill outlining the exact text of the referendum (Irish Times, BBC).
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A referendum repealing or amending Ireland's 'right-to-life' Eighth Amendment passed. This question closed as "Yes" with an end date of 25 May 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
A referendum repealing or amending Ireland's 'right-to-life' Eighth Amendment passed. This question closed as "Yes" with an end date of 25 May 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 90.00% | |
No | 10.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 172 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 338 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |