SCOTUSblog asks

In South Dakota v. Wayfair, Inc., will the Supreme Court rule that a state may impose sales taxes on retail sales by firms that do not have a physical presence in the state?

Started Mar 14, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 21, 2018 05:00PM UTC
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Currently, under the Supreme Court’s decision in Quill Corp. v. North Dakota , states and their political subdivisions are not permitted to impose sales taxes on sales made by firms that do not have a physical presence within their jurisdiction (Cornell Law). This decision has prevented state and local governments from imposing sales taxes on Internet sales (Reuters). The state of South Dakota is asking the Supreme Court to revisit its decision in Quill (SCOTUS Blog, Bloomberg BNA, E-Commerce Times). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its current term, but if it does not, the question will resolve as no. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
The Supreme Court ruled that a state may impose sales taxes on retail sales by firms that do not have a physical presence in the state. This question closed as “yes” with an end date of 21 June 2018 (The Supreme Court of the United States) See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 62.00%
No 38.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 82
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 140
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.267
2.
-0.262
3.
-0.25
4.
-0.235
5.
-0.224

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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