The Monkey Cage asks

Who will win the Republican Party primary for the Indiana U.S. Senate race in 2018?

Started Mar 14, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 08, 2018 05:00PM UTC

The 2018 Indiana U.S. Senate race was described by Politico as being "the GOPÍs best opportunity to seize a Senate seat from Democrats" (Politico). The Republican primary is expected to be especially competitive and contentious (The Washington Post). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Mike Braun won the Republican Party primary for the Indiana U.S. Senate race (IndyStar). This question closed as "Mike Braun" with an end date of 8 May 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Luke Messer 10%
Todd Rokita 51%
Mike Braun 39%
None of the above 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 45
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 120
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.441
2.
-0.337
3.
-0.322
4.
-0.305
5.
-0.266

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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