Between 11 April 2018 and 31 July 2018, will Chinese tariffs on any US aircraft take effect?

Started Apr 11, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC

The first set of China's retaliatory tariffs took effect on 1 April 2018 (NY Times, Ministry of Commerce of the People's Republic of China), and on 4 April they announced plans for further tariffs on a range of imports, including aircraft, that have not yet taken effect (CNBC). China has indicated that their implementation is dependent on whether the US follows through on its additional tariffs (Politico). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
This question resolved as "No" (Global Times, BBC (Chinese), Ministry of Finance of the Peoples Republic of China). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 5.00%
No 95.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 143
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 354
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.027307
2.
-0.027307
3.
-0.027262
5.
-0.02715

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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