How many of the BRIC countries will report positive annualised growth for the quarter ending in December 2015?

Started Dec 08, 2015 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2016 07:59AM UTC

Brazil, Russia, India and China make up the BRIC countries; all four have been experiencing slowdowns in growth and enter 2016 facing distinct economic challenges (The World in 2016). Annualised quarterly growth rates measure the change in real GDP compared to the same quarter of the previous year. The question will be suspended on 31 December 2015 and will close once the BRIC governments release annualized growth for the quarter ending in December of 2015. Media coverage of the growth rates for the quarter ending September of 2015 can be seen here: Brazil , Russia, India, China.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
None 0%
One 0%
Two 96%
Three 4%
Four 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 400
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 640
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.006786
2.
-0.006409
3.
-0.006351
4.
-0.006236
5.
-0.006228

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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