The Economist asks
Before 1 October 2018, will Brazil's Workers' Party nominate a candidate for president who is not Luiz Inàcio Lula da Silva?
Started
Apr 18, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 11, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 11, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Challenges
Tags
Lula's conviction and incarceration based upon corruption charges has cast doubt on his ability to run in Brazil's upcoming presidential election (The Economist, The Washington Post, MercoPress, The Economist).
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This question closed as "yes" with and end date of 11 September 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
This question closed as "yes" with and end date of 11 September 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 88.00% | |
No | 12.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 187 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
Number of Forecasts | 386 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |