Before 2 June 2018, will the Trump administration exempt Mexico from steel tariffs set to be imposed on 1 June 2018?

Started May 16, 2018 06:30PM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
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On 30 April 2018, Mexico was temporarily exempted from new US tariffs on steel and aluminum imports until 1 June 2018 to allow for further negotiations (Reuters, The White House). This question was closed as "c) no" with an end date of 1 June 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, permanently 0%
Yes, temporarily 0%
No 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 59
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 124
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.924
3.
-0.778
4.
-0.754

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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