The Monkey Cage asks
On 3 January 2019, how many U.S. senators will be women?
Started
May 23, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 03, 2019 07:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 03, 2019 07:59AM UTC
Tags
In the current 115th United States Congress, 23 of 100 senators are women (ABC News). The number of women filing Senate candidacies ahead of the 2018 midterms could be record-setting (New Yorker, Center for American Women and Politics, Inside Elections).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
The question closed as g) 25 or more with a closing date 3 January 2019. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
The question closed as g) 25 or more with a closing date 3 January 2019. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 19 or fewer | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | |
| 23 | 2% | |
| 24 | 37% | |
| 25 or more | 61% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 308 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 925 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
