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In the News 2025
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
(6 months)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!
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Question
Will the presidents of Russia and the United States meet in person before 21 July 2025?
Closing
Jul 21, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
241
·
770
Will the monthly global land and sea temperature anomaly reach or exceed 1.50°C in 2025, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
·
43
·
119
Will the mean (average) probability that consumers will not be able to make a debt payment in the following three months as of November 2025 be higher than it was as of February 2025, according to the NY Fed?
Closing
Dec 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
·
18
·
33
Will the level of net tropical cyclone (NTC) activity in the Atlantic basin in 2025 reach or exceed 165%, according to Colorado State University's Department of Atmospheric Science?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
·
17
·
34
Will the head of state or head of government of India next hold a bilateral meeting in person with the head of state or head of government of Pakistan before 24 November 2025?
Closing
Nov 24, 2025 08:01AM UTC
·
22
·
40
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will the closing value of the S&P 500 Index fall below 4,860.09 before 1 July 2025?
Closing
Jun 30, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
69
·
430
Will the CDC report more than 500 cases of mumps for 2025?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
·
29
·
113
Will the average daily crude oil production by Iran fall below 2,750 thousand barrels per day (tb/d) for any month in 2025?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
·
35
·
89
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will Taiwan publicly accuse the People's Republic of China of flying a military aircraft over the territory of and/or the territorial waters surrounding the main island of Taiwan without its permission before 1 December 2025?
Closing
Dec 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
·
90
·
258
Will SpaceX successfully catch a Starship rocket before 1 July 2025?
Closing
Jul 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
45
·
210
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