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In the News 2025
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
(6 months)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!
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Question
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 January 2026, will tanker ship daily transit calls for the Strait of Hormuz be below 15 for two consecutive days, according to the IMF?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
·
34
·
98
Before 1 January 2026, will Taiwan publicly accuse the People's Republic of China of landing military personnel on the Pratas Islands without authorization?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
·
62
·
122
Before 1 January 2026, will Nancy Pelosi publicly announce that she will not run for reelection to the US House of Representatives in 2026?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
·
46
·
103
Before 1 January 2026, will Kamala Harris publicly announce that she will run for governor of California in 2026?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
·
66
·
179
Before 1 January 2026, will an Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) member state publicly announce or acknowledge that it has or will leave the organization?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
·
39
·
99
Before 1 January 2026, will a non-OPEC member state that is a party to OPEC's Declaration of Cooperation (aka OPEC+) publicly announce or acknowledge that it has or will cease to be a party to OPEC+?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
·
29
·
69
Before 1 January 2026, will a NATO member invoke either Article 4 or Article 5 in response to a putative act or acts of sabotage?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
·
35
·
47
Before 1 January 2026, how many original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) will have announced a specific production passenger vehicle model that utilizes solid-state battery technology for its primary propulsion battery pack for public sale in any part of at least one major global market?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
·
17
·
29
Before 18 October 2025, will a US federal court issue declaratory and/or injunctive relief preventing the City of Chicago from enforcing any part of its "Welcoming City Ordinance?"
Closing
Oct 18, 2025 07:01AM UTC
·
14
·
27
Before 11 November 2025, will Shia cleric Muqtada al-Sadr publicly call on his supporters to vote in the 2025 Iraqi parliamentary elections?
Closing
Nov 11, 2025 08:01AM UTC
·
13
·
17
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