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Superforecasting® Workshops Challenge
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
(10 months)
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Forecast on questions generated by participants of Good Judgment's public and private Superforecasting Workshops. For more information about workshops, please see:
Superforecasting Workshops
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Question
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Between 1 March 2024 and 30 June 2024, how many total fatalities will occur in Sudan due to conflicts and protests, according to ACLED?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
15
·
24
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
As of 15 April 2024, how many members of the Alliance of Sahel States (AoSS) will have notice in place that they wish to leave the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS)?
Closing
Apr 15, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
15
·
28
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 October 2024, will the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) report a situation or projection that any part of the population of Sudan has or will reach "Phase 5 - Famine" of acute food insecurity?
Closing
Oct 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
17
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25
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will Poland publicly announce that it has joined or is joining the European Sky Shield Initiative (ESSI) before 9 November 2024?
Closing
Nov 09, 2024 08:01AM UTC
·
21
·
30
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What percentage of the vote will the Alliance for the Unity of Romanians (Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor, or AUR) party list win in the 2024 European Parliament (EP) elections?
Closing
Jun 09, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
16
·
35
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel (Forces) of Iran and those of Pakistan resulting in two or more fatalities before 1 January 2025?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
·
56
·
98
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will India lift its ban on the export of white rice from the country before 2 July 2024?
Closing
Jul 02, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
35
·
74
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 August 2024, will the United States publicly announce that it has deployed regular ground armed forces to Yemen for the stated purpose of fighting Houthi forces?
Closing
Aug 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
87
·
187
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
By how much will the population of the US State of Tennessee increase from 1 July 2023 to 1 July 2024, according to the US Census Bureau?
Closing
Sep 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
18
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38
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
How many seats will the Identity & Democracy Group (ID) win in the 2024 European Parliament (EP) elections?
Closing
Jun 06, 2024 07:01AM UTC
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19
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42
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