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Superforecasting® Workshops Challenge
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
(9 months)
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Forecast on questions generated by participants of Good Judgment's public and private Superforecasting Workshops. For more information about workshops, please see:
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Question
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Between 1 March 2024 and 30 June 2024, how many total fatalities will occur in Sudan due to conflicts and protests, according to ACLED?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
18
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46
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 October 2024, will the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) report a situation or projection that any part of the population of Sudan has or will reach "Phase 5 - Famine" of acute food insecurity?
Closing
Oct 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
24
·
53
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will India lift its ban on the export of white rice from the country before 2 July 2024?
Closing
Jul 02, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
39
·
104
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
By how much will the population of the US State of Tennessee increase from 1 July 2023 to 1 July 2024, according to the US Census Bureau?
Closing
Sep 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
19
·
44
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will there be more live births in the US in 2024 than in 2023?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
·
60
·
107
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
When will NATO and/or a NATO member state publicly accuse Republic of Serbia national military forces and/or law enforcement of either entering Kosovo without authorization or firing a weapon or weapons into Kosovo?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
66
·
236
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will France publicly announce that it will resume providing official development assistance (ODA) to Mali before 1 January 2025?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
·
39
·
104
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Between 29 September 2023 and 30 June 2024, will the UN Security Council increase the number of troops authorized in Somalia after 30 June 2024 under the mandate for the African Union Transition Mission in Somalia (ATMIS)?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
25
·
101
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 May 2024, will Russia or Belarus detonate a nuclear device outside of Russian and Belarusian territory or airspace?
Closing
May 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
146
·
419
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Between 15 September 2023 and 30 April 2024, will Russia or Belarus publicly announce that it has moved a nuclear weapon or weapons into Ukraine?
Closing
May 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
124
·
443
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