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Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:00AM UTC (5 months)
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Join this challenge to forecast on topics suggested by Good Judgment Open forecasters through our crowd discussion question, during Office Hours, or through our Help Desk. We look forward to seeing your suggested questions here!

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MrLittleTexas asks:

What percentage of the vote will the Republican candidate win in the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election?

20 Forecasters • 30 Forecasts
Started Jul 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
50.0% or less and will not win the election
3%
50.0% or less but will win the election
6%
More than 50.0% but less than 55.0%
53%
55.0% or more
38%
404_NOT_FOUND asks:

To which political party will the next prime minister of Italy belong after the 2022 general election?

22 Forecasters • 37 Forecasts
Started Jul 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 25, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Brothers of Italy (Fratelli d'Italia)
64%
Democratic Party (Partito Democratico)
31%
Five Star Movement (Movimento 5 Stelle)
0%
Forward Italy (Forza Italia)
0%
League (Lega)
0%
None of the above
5%
MrLittleTexas asks:

Who will win the US Senate election for New Hampshire in 2022?

33 Forecasters • 67 Forecasts
Started Jul 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
75%
The Republican Party candidate
25%
Someone else
0%
MrLittleTexas asks:

Who will win the US Senate election for Colorado in 2022?

34 Forecasters • 53 Forecasts
Started Jul 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
99%
The Republican Party candidate
2%
Someone else
0%
Sturgii asks:

What will be the percentage change in real German GDP in the fourth quarter of 2022 as compared to the fourth quarter of 2021?

29 Forecasters • 59 Forecasts
Started Jul 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower by 4.0% or more
6%
Lower by between 2.0% and 4.0%, inclusive
32%
Lower by more than 0.0% but less than 2.0%
60%
Higher by between 0.0% and 2.0%, inclusive
2%
Higher by more than 2.0%
0%
EMJ asks:

How many acres will be consumed by reported wildfires in the US in 2022?

24 Forecasters • 61 Forecasts
Started Jul 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 6.5 million
1%
Between 6.5 million and 8.0 million, inclusive
9%
More than 8.0 million but fewer than 9.5 million
30%
Between 9.5 million and 11.0 million, inclusive
35%
More than 11.0 million but fewer than 12.5 million
19%
12.5 million or more
6%
Eolienne asks:

Which cricket team will win the 2022 Men's T20 World Cup Final?

28 Forecasters • 44 Forecasts
Started Jul 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 13, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Australia
24%
England
15%
India
22%
New Zealand
12%
Pakistan
11%
South Africa
8%
Another country
8%
Foxes Ask:

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of a country in the Horn of Africa before 1 April 2023?

93%

Chance
44 Forecasters • 102 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
kerryb asks:

What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 31 October 2022, according to FiveThirtyEight?

89 Forecasters • 269 Forecasts
Started Jun 10, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 31, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 35.0%
17%
Between 35.0% and 40.0%, inclusive
65%
Higher than 40.0% but lower than 45.0%
18%
Between 45.0% and 50.0%, inclusive
0%
Higher than 50.0%
0%
SE_Meyer asks:

What will be the closing value of the ICE US Dollar Index on 16 September 2022?

35 Forecasters • 215 Forecasts
Started Jun 10, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 16, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 95.00
0%
Between 95.00 and 100.00, inclusive
0%
More than 100.00 but less than 105.00
28%
Between 105.00 and 110.00, inclusive
67%
More than 110.00 but less than 115.00
5%
115.00 or more
0%
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