Foxes Ask

Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:00PM UTC (5 months)
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Join this challenge to forecast on topics suggested by Good Judgment Open forecasters through our crowd discussion question, during Office Hours, or through our Help Desk. We look forward to seeing your suggested questions here!

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DippySkippy asks:

Which driver will win the 2021 Formula One World Drivers' Championship?

48 Forecasters • 69 Forecasts
Started Jul 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 12, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lewis Hamilton
33%
Sergio Perez
0%
Max Verstappen
67%
Another driver
0%
jayb asks:

How many total major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur in the Atlantic Ocean in the 2021 hurricane season, according to the National Hurricane Center?

92 Forecasters • 226 Forecasts
Started Jun 04, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
2 or fewer
7%
3
23%
4
33%
5
26%
6 or more
11%
belikewater asks:

When will the World Health Organization (WHO) report 40 million or more confirmed cases of COVID-19 in India?

104 Forecasters • 588 Forecasts
Started May 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 July 2021
0%
Between 1 July 2021 and 31 July 2021
0%
Between 1 August 2021 and 31 August 2021
0%
Between 1 September 2021 and 30 September 2021
5%
Not before 1 October 2021
95%
ericbays asks:

Before 16 December 2021, will the Federal Reserve announce it will reduce its monthly quantitative easing bond buying?

75%

Chance
77 Forecasters • 262 Forecasts
Started Apr 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Columbus asks:

Will US federal legislation implementing or authorizing a mandatory carbon pricing mechanism become law before 1 January 2022?

3%

Chance
71 Forecasters • 125 Forecasts
Started Apr 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
CJH asks:

Following the 2021 German Bundestag elections, which parties will be part of the new government?

99 Forecasters • 431 Forecasts
Started Apr 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 26, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The CDU but not the Green Party
12%
The Green Party but not the CDU
5%
Both the CDU and the Green Party
75%
Neither the CDU nor the Green Party
0%
No government will be formed before 31 December 2021
8%
Adam Grant and 024_andrew and ask:

Will Scott Morrison cease to be prime minister of Australia before 1 September 2021?

0%

Chance
181 Forecasters • 371 Forecasts
Started Apr 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop and erikbays ask:

What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September 2021?

147 Forecasters • 561 Forecasts
Started Mar 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 1.7%
0%
Between 1.7% and 2.1%, inclusive
0%
Higher than 2.1% but lower than 2.7%
0%
Between 2.7% and 3.1%, inclusive
2%
Higher than 3.1%
98%
Ryan-Beck and Kinnaj ask:

Will Robinhood receive a Wells notice from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) before 1 October 2021 related to trading limits imposed on 28 January 2021?

2%

Chance
58 Forecasters • 162 Forecasts
Started Mar 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
CJH asks:

Will California hold a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom before 1 January 2022?

85 Forecasters • 333 Forecasts
Started Feb 19, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and Newsom will be recalled
8%
Yes, but Newsom will not be recalled
92%
No
0%
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