Foxes Ask

Closing
Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC (7 months)
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Join this challenge to forecast on topics suggested by Good Judgment Open forecasters through our crowd discussion question, during Office Hours, or through our Help Desk. We look forward to seeing your suggested questions here!

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Foxes ask:

Will the Swedish Scholastic Aptitude Test (SweSAT) scheduled for 18 October 2020 be canceled or postponed?

3%

Chance
56 Forecasters • 68 Forecasts
Started May 29, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 18, 2020 06:59AM UTC

Before 28 July 2020, will Saudi Arabia announce the cancellation or suspension of the Hajj pilgrimage, scheduled for 28 July 2020 to 2 August 2020?

116 Forecasters • 400 Forecasts
Started May 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 28, 2020 06:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, before 1 June 2020
0%
Yes, between 1 June 2020 and 30 June 2020
29%
Yes, between 1 July 2020 and 27 July 2020
9%
No
62%

Between 15 May 2020 and 30 November 2020, will any Group III U.S. air carrier file for bankruptcy?

95%

Chance
97 Forecasters • 165 Forecasts
Started May 15, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2020, will North Korea announce that it has a new head of state?

2%

Chance
313 Forecasters • 490 Forecasts
Started May 01, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Foxes Ask:

Before 1 January 2021, will the Russian constitution be amended to allow Vladimir Putin to remain president after his current term?

95%

Chance
222 Forecasters • 399 Forecasts
Started Apr 17, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
Foxes Ask:

Will the Council of the European Union make an Article 7.1 determination against Hungary before 31 December 2020?

5%

Chance
121 Forecasters • 240 Forecasts
Started Apr 17, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
Foxes Ask:

How many seats will the New Patriotic Party win in Ghana's 2020 parliamentary elections?

36 Forecasters • 104 Forecasts
Started Apr 10, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
A majority of seats
86%
A plurality of seats, but not a majority
4%
Neither a majority nor a plurality
3%
Parliamentary elections in Ghana will not take place in 2020
7%