Foxes Ask

Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:00AM UTC (11 months)
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Join this challenge to forecast on topics suggested by Good Judgment Open forecasters through our crowd discussion question, during Office Hours, or through our Help Desk. We look forward to seeing your suggested questions here!

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Bernard Zimmermann asks:

Before 1 January 2023, will the US officially rejoin the JCPOA?

15%

Chance
52 Forecasters • 67 Forecasts
Started Jan 14, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Nick-Nolan asks:

Between 30 December 2021 and 31 May 2022, will NATO and/or a NATO member state accuse Russian national military forces of invading Ukraine?

183 Forecasters • 453 Forecasts
Started Dec 30, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, invading the Donetsk and/or Luhansk Oblasts only
16%
Yes, invading Ukrainian territory outside of Donetsk and/or Luhansk Oblasts only
6%
Yes, invading the Donetsk and/or Luhansk Oblasts as well as other Ukrainian territory
23%
No
55%
The Economist and DippySkippy ask:

Before 23 June 2022, will Boris Johnson cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?

40%

Chance
304 Forecasters • 665 Forecasts
Started Dec 23, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 23, 2022 07:01AM UTC
SE_Meyer asks:

What will be the market capitalization for Shiba Inu on 31 August 2022, according to CoinMarketCap?

37 Forecasters • 113 Forecasts
Started Nov 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 31, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $15 billion
56%
Between $15 billion and $25 billion, inclusive
30%
More than $25 billion but less than $35 billion
10%
Between $35 billion and $45 billion, inclusive
2%
More than $45 billion but less than $55 billion
1%
$55 billion or more
1%
The Economist and belikewater ask:

What will be the closing price for aluminum per metric ton (MT) on 29 April 2022?

116 Forecasters • 274 Forecasts
Started Oct 29, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 29, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than $2,000
0%
Between $2,000 and $2,300, inclusive
1%
Higher than $2,300 but lower than $2,600
16%
Between $2,600 and $2,900, inclusive
35%
Higher than $2,900 but lower than $3,200
39%
$3,200 or higher
9%
Chrisp, 024_andrew, and belikewater ask:

Which party will win control of the US Senate in the 2022 midterm elections?

256 Forecasters • 452 Forecasts
Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 11, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Democratic Party
30%
Republican Party
70%
Chrisp, 024_andrew, and belikewater ask:

Which party will win control of the US House of Representatives in the 2022 midterm elections?

234 Forecasters • 374 Forecasts
Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 11, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Democratic Party
22%
Republican Party
78%
belikewater asks:

Will Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene be reelected for Georgia's 14th Congressional District in 2022?

60%

Chance
75 Forecasters • 164 Forecasts
Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 11, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The Economist and 024_andrew ask:

Which party's candidate will win the next presidential election in France?

187 Forecasters • 389 Forecasts
Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 24, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
National Rally (Rassemblement National)
4%
The Republic Forward (La République En Marche!)
77%
The Republicans (Les Républicains)
19%
Unbowed France (La France Insoumise)
0%
None of the above
0%
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