Foxes Ask

Closing
Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC (5 months)
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Join this challenge to forecast on topics suggested by Good Judgment Open forecasters through our crowd discussion question, during Office Hours, or through our Help Desk. We look forward to seeing your suggested questions here!

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Foxes Ask:

When will the EU add the U.S. to its list of countries for which member states should gradually lift travel restrictions?

112 Forecasters • 146 Forecasts
Started Jul 31, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
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Before 1 September 2020
0%
Between 1 September and 30 September 2020
2%
Between 1 October and 31 October 2020
10%
Not before 1 November 2020
88%
Foxes Ask:

Between August 2020 and July 2021, will global land and ocean surface temperatures rise 1.5°C or more above the 20th century average for any single month?

10%

Chance
69 Forecasters • 86 Forecasts
Started Jul 31, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2021 06:59AM UTC
Foxes Ask:

Before 1 January 2021, will it be announced that the fueling of the Vogtle nuclear reactor Unit 3 has begun?

42%

Chance
70 Forecasters • 97 Forecasts
Started Jul 24, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 30 September 2020 relative to its closing value on 30 June 2020?

184 Forecasters • 453 Forecasts
Started Jul 01, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 30, 2020 06:59AM UTC
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Down more than 15.0%
0%
Down between 5.0% and 15.0%, inclusive
15%
Between down less than 5.0% and up less than 5.0%
52%
Up between 5.0% and 15.0%, inclusive
33%
Up more than 15.0%
0%
Foxes Ask:

Will Israel's Knesset pass a bill to annex and/or apply sovereignty over any West Bank territory before 1 January 2021?

35%

Chance
74 Forecasters • 206 Forecasts
Started Jun 19, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC
Foxes Ask:

Before 3 November 2020, will federal legislation curtailing or eliminating qualified immunity for public officials become law?

0%

Chance
255 Forecasters • 354 Forecasts
Started Jun 12, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 03, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Foxes ask:

How many total major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur in the Atlantic Ocean in the 2020 hurricane season, according to the National Hurricane Center?

177 Forecasters • 354 Forecasts
Started Jun 05, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
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2 or fewer
6%
3
25%
4
34%
5
23%
6 or more
12%
Foxes ask:

Will the Swedish Scholastic Aptitude Test (SweSAT) scheduled for 18 October 2020 be canceled or postponed?

15%

Chance
197 Forecasters • 293 Forecasts
Started May 29, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 18, 2020 06:59AM UTC