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Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:00AM UTC (5 months)
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Join this challenge to forecast on topics suggested by Good Judgment Open forecasters through our crowd discussion question, during Office Hours, or through our Help Desk. We look forward to seeing your suggested questions here!

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MrLittleTexas asks:

What percentage of the vote will the Republican candidate win in the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election?

20 Forecasters • 30 Forecasts
Started Jul 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
50.0% or less and will not win the election
3%
50.0% or less but will win the election
6%
More than 50.0% but less than 55.0%
53%
55.0% or more
38%
404_NOT_FOUND asks:

To which political party will the next prime minister of Italy belong after the 2022 general election?

22 Forecasters • 37 Forecasts
Started Jul 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 25, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Brothers of Italy (Fratelli d'Italia)
64%
Democratic Party (Partito Democratico)
31%
Five Star Movement (Movimento 5 Stelle)
0%
Forward Italy (Forza Italia)
0%
League (Lega)
0%
None of the above
5%
MrLittleTexas asks:

Who will win the US Senate election for New Hampshire in 2022?

33 Forecasters • 67 Forecasts
Started Jul 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
75%
The Republican Party candidate
25%
Someone else
0%
MrLittleTexas asks:

Who will win the US Senate election for Colorado in 2022?

34 Forecasters • 53 Forecasts
Started Jul 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
99%
The Republican Party candidate
2%
Someone else
0%
Kinnaj asks:

Before 1 November 2022, will Twitter announce that Parag Agrawal has ceased or will cease to be the company's sole CEO?

5%

Chance
75 Forecasters • 375 Forecasts
Started Apr 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Tylerdurden03 asks:

Who will be elected mayor of Los Angeles, California, in 2022?

34 Forecasters • 127 Forecasts
Started Apr 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Karen Bass
79%
Rick Caruso
22%
Kevin de León
0%
Someone else
0%
Hanyfawwaz and David Epstein ask:

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 January 2023?

4%

Chance
555 Forecasters • 1925 Forecasts
Started Feb 26, 2022 05:30PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Chrisp, 024_andrew, belikewater, and David Epstein ask:

Which party will win control of the US Senate in the 2022 midterm elections?

426 Forecasters • 1071 Forecasts
Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 11, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Democratic Party
37%
Republican Party
64%
Chrisp, 024_andrew, belikewater, and David Epstein ask:

Which party will win control of the US House of Representatives in the 2022 midterm elections?

399 Forecasters • 917 Forecasts
Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 11, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Democratic Party
20%
Republican Party
80%
belikewater asks:

Will Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene be reelected for Georgia's 14th Congressional District in 2022?

96%

Chance
116 Forecasters • 391 Forecasts
Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 11, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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