In the News 2021

Closing
Jan 01, 2022 07:59AM UTC (8 months)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!

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CJH asks:

Following the 2021 German Bundestag elections, which parties will be part of the new government?

47 Forecasters • 82 Forecasts
Started Apr 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 26, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The CDU but not the Green Party
11%
The Green Party but not the CDU
11%
Both the CDU and the Green Party
67%
Neither the CDU nor the Green Party
0%
No government will be formed before 31 December 2021
11%
Adam Grant asks:

Which NHL team will win the 2021 Stanley Cup Final?

56 Forecasters • 78 Forecasts
Started Apr 09, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 09, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Carolina Hurricanes
8%
Colorado Avalanche
23%
Tampa Bay Lightning
14%
Toronto Maple Leafs
12%
Vegas Golden Knights
14%
Another team or no team will win the 2021 Stanley Cup Final
29%
Adam Grant asks:

What will be Saudi Arabia's crude oil production for July 2021, according to OPEC?

63 Forecasters • 82 Forecasts
Started Apr 09, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 8,000 tb/d
0%
Between 8,000 tb/d and 8,500 tb/d, inclusive
2%
More than 8,500 tb/d but less than 9,000 tb/d
12%
Between 9,000 tb/d and 9,500 tb/d, inclusive
38%
More than 9,500 tb/d
48%
The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) asks:

What will be the Chinese renminbi's share as a global payments currency in December 2021, according to SWIFT?

49 Forecasters • 83 Forecasts
Started Apr 09, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 2.00%
2%
Between 2.00% and 2.50%, inclusive
74%
More than 2.50% but less than 3.00%
24%
3.00% or more
0%

How many deaths attributed to COVID-19 in the US will be reported for the week ending 1 May 2021?

56 Forecasters • 155 Forecasts
Started Apr 07, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 1,500
0%
Between 1,500 and 3,000, inclusive
0%
More than 3,000 but fewer than 4,500
23%
Between 4,500 and 6,000, inclusive
77%
More than 6,000 but fewer than 7,500
0%
Between 7,500 and 9,000 inclusive
0%
More than 9,000 but fewer than 10,500
0%
Between 10,500 and 12,000 inclusive
0%
More than 12,000
0%

How many confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the US will be reported for the week ending 1 May 2021?

48 Forecasters • 143 Forecasts
Started Apr 07, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 150,000
0%
Between 150,000 and 250,000, inclusive
0%
More than 250,000 but fewer than 350,000
0%
Between 350,000 and 450,000, inclusive
37%
More than 450,000 but fewer than 550,000
58%
Between 550,000 and 650,000, inclusive
5%
More than 650,000 but fewer than 750,000
0%
Between 750,000 and 850,000, inclusive
0%
More than 850,000
0%

How many people will have been fully vaccinated against COVID-19 in the US as of 30 April 2021, according to the CDC?

56 Forecasters • 130 Forecasts
Started Apr 07, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 30, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 85,000,000
0%
Between 85,000,000 and 95,000,000, inclusive
0%
More than 95,000,000 but fewer than 105,000,000
12%
Between 105,000,000 and 115,000,000, inclusive
75%
More than 115,000,000 but fewer than 125,000,000
13%
Between 125,000,000 and 135,000,000, inclusive
0%
More than 135,000,000
0%
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