In the News 2021

Closing
Jan 01, 2022 07:59AM UTC (2 months)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!

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Luckbox Magazine asks:

What will be the gross proceeds for special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) IPO transactions in 2021?

58 Forecasters • 444 Forecasts
Started Mar 19, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $100 billion
0%
Between $100 billion and $140 billion, inclusive
7%
More than $140 billion but less than $180 billion
82%
$180 billion or more
11%

What will be the FAO Food Price Index for December 2021?

78 Forecasters • 438 Forecasts
Started Mar 19, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 100.0
0%
Between 100.0 and 110.0, inclusive
0%
More than 110.0 but less than 120.0
2%
Between 120.0 and 130.0, inclusive
41%
More than 130.0
57%

Before 1 January 2022, will North Korea detonate a nuclear device and/or launch an ICBM with an estimated range of at least 10,000km?

178 Forecasters • 694 Forecasts
Started Mar 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, only detonate a nuclear device
0%
Yes, only launch an ICBM
5%
Yes, both
0%
No
95%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the People's Republic of China's (PRC's) military expenditure as a percentage of GDP be greater in 2021 than it was in 2019?

95%

Chance
152 Forecasters • 366 Forecasts
Started Feb 26, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Will a bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) trade on a US exchange before 1 January 2022?

1%

Chance
97 Forecasters • 377 Forecasts
Started Feb 16, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 15 December 2021, will the U.S. either formally seek to join or formally begin renegotiations with signatories regarding the TPP or CPTPP?

1%

Chance
112 Forecasters • 418 Forecasts
Started Feb 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop and erikbays ask:

Before 1 January 2022, will the U.S. officially rejoin the JCPOA?

5%

Chance
160 Forecasters • 877 Forecasts
Started Feb 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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