In the News 2021

Closing
Jan 01, 2022 07:59AM UTC (2 months)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!

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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will there be an act of domestic terrorism in the United States resulting in 10 or more fatalities before 1 January 2022?

9%

Chance
192 Forecasters • 801 Forecasts
Started Feb 10, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Econja2018 asks:

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 January 2022?

0%

Chance
213 Forecasters • 458 Forecasts
Started Feb 10, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Luckbox Magazine asks:

Will SpaceX and/or Virgin Galactic complete a successful space tourist flight before 1 January 2022?

160 Forecasters • 602 Forecasts
Started Feb 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, only SpaceX
100%
Yes, only Virgin Galactic
0%
Yes, both
0%
No
0%

Will Saudi Arabia diplomatically recognize the State of Israel in 2021?

1%

Chance
127 Forecasters • 402 Forecasts
Started Feb 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Between 5 February 2021 and 31 October 2021, will anti-government protests in Russia result in five or more fatalities?

0%

Chance
129 Forecasters • 440 Forecasts
Started Feb 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Will the United States report more deaths attributed to COVID-19 as of 31 December 2021 than will the European Union?

7%

Chance
163 Forecasters • 662 Forecasts
Started Jan 29, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC

How many vacancies will arise on the U.S. Supreme Court in 2021?

178 Forecasters • 719 Forecasts
Started Jan 29, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
0
97%
1
3%
2
0%
3 or more
0%

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Yemen in 2021?

6%

Chance
108 Forecasters • 471 Forecasts
Started Jan 22, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 January 2022, will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Iran and the United States either in Iran or at sea?

2%

Chance
160 Forecasters • 397 Forecasts
Started Jan 21, 2021 01:00AM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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