In the News 2021

Closing
Jan 01, 2022 07:59AM UTC (2 months)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!

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Will Nicaragua diplomatically recognize the People's Republic of China before 7 November 2021?

0%

Chance
63 Forecasters • 155 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 07, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Will a Russian senior government official or Russian naval vessel visit Nicaragua before 7 November 2021?

2%

Chance
56 Forecasters • 284 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 07, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Tim Harford asks:

What will Uber's end-of-day market capitalization be on 31 December 2021?

139 Forecasters • 867 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $75 billion
26%
Between $75 billion and $100 billion, inclusive
61%
More than $100 billion but less than $125 billion
13%
Between $125 billion and $150 billion, inclusive
0%
More than $150 billion
0%

At close of business on 31 December 2021, will Apple be the most valuable publicly traded company in the world?

119 Forecasters • 392 Forecasts
Started Dec 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, the most valuable in the world
91%
No, but the most valuable in the United States
3%
No
6%

What will be the closing yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury on 31 December 2021?

92 Forecasters • 759 Forecasts
Started Dec 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 1.500
0%
Between 1.500 and 2.000, inclusive
36%
More than 2.000 but less than 2.500
61%
Between 2.500 and 3.000, inclusive
3%
More than 3.000
0%
SE_Meyer asks:

Before 1 January 2022, will the Diem Association, co-founded by Facebook, launch a stablecoin?

10%

Chance
96 Forecasters • 435 Forecasts
Started Dec 22, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) asks:

Will the People's Republic of China and the EU sign a Comprehensive Agreement on Investment before 1 January 2022?

257 Forecasters • 1101 Forecasts
Started Dec 18, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and the EU will ratify it before 1 January 2022
0%
Yes, and the EU will not ratify it before 1 January 2022
5%
No
95%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will Japan, the People's Republic of China, and South Korea sign a trilateral free trade agreement before 1 January 2022?

0%

Chance
179 Forecasters • 482 Forecasts
Started Dec 16, 2020 12:45AM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Econja2018 asks:

Will net international migration between the U.S. and abroad for 2021 be higher than the net international migration for 2020?

100%

Chance
77 Forecasters • 192 Forecasts
Started Dec 11, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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