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China and the World in 2021
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
(8 months)
About
Join this MERICS challenge to forecast on key domestic and international developments that shape China's global footprint in coming months.
Hosted by Europe's leading China research institute, the
Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS)
in Berlin.
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The
Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS)
asks:
Before 1 January 2022, will the People's Liberation Army (PLA) and/or People's Armed Police (PAP) engage in a confrontation with Hong Kongers?
5%
Chance
75 Forecasters • 98 Forecasts
Started
Apr 23, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The
Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS)
asks:
Between 16 April 2021 and 31 December 2021, will ASML obtain an export license from the Netherlands to export an Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) lithography system to the People's Republic of China?
3%
Chance
54 Forecasters • 90 Forecasts
Started
Apr 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The
Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS)
asks:
Between 30 April 2021 and 31 December 2021, how many times will the Council of the European Union impose new restrictive measures (sanctions) on China over human rights violations and abuses in Xinjiang?
50 Forecasters • 78 Forecasts
Started
Apr 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
0
72%
1
23%
2
5%
3 or more
0%
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