China and the World in 2021

Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC (8 months)
About
Join this MERICS challenge to forecast on key domestic and international developments that shape China's global footprint in coming months.
Hosted by Europe's leading China research institute, the Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) in Berlin.
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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 15 July 2021, will Canadians Michael Kovrig and/or Michael Spavor leave China?

111 Forecasters • 416 Forecasts
Started Dec 16, 2020 12:45AM UTC
Closing Jul 15, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, only Michael Kovrig
0%
Yes, only Michael Spavor
0%
Yes, both Michael Kovrig and Michael Spavor
2%
No
98%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will Japan, the People's Republic of China, and South Korea sign a trilateral free trade agreement before 1 January 2022?

5%

Chance
131 Forecasters • 282 Forecasts
Started Dec 16, 2020 12:45AM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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