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China and the World in 2021
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
(8 months)
About
Join this MERICS challenge to forecast on key domestic and international developments that shape China's global footprint in coming months.
Hosted by Europe's leading China research institute, the
Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS)
in Berlin.
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The
Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS)
asks:
Between 16 April 2021 and 31 December 2021, will ASML obtain an export license from the Netherlands to export an Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) lithography system to the People's Republic of China?
9%
Chance
36 Forecasters • 43 Forecasts
Started
Apr 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The
Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS)
asks:
Will the United States and China sign a trade agreement before 1 July 2021?
0%
Chance
239 Forecasters • 420 Forecasts
Started
Dec 18, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The
Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS)
and
WBHumanoid
ask:
Before 1 January 2022, will the United States Olympic Committee announce that it is boycotting the 2022 Winter Olympics?
5%
Chance
208 Forecasters • 731 Forecasts
Started
Aug 28, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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