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In the News 2022
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
(6 months)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!
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When will Russia and Ukraine sign or announce an agreement to end the current conflict in Ukraine?
241 Forecasters • 955 Forecasts
Started
Mar 18, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 June 2022
0%
Between 1 June 2022 and 31 July 2022
0%
Between 1 August 2022 and 30 September 2022
4%
Between 1 October 2022 and 30 November 2022
10%
Not before 1 December 2022
86%
David Epstein
asks:
Between 29 April 2022 and 30 November 2022, will North Korea detonate a nuclear device?
64%
Chance
99 Forecasters • 327 Forecasts
Started
Apr 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
How many total hurricanes will occur in the Atlantic Ocean in the 2022 hurricane season, according to the National Hurricane Center?
64 Forecasters • 182 Forecasts
Started
May 06, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
3 or fewer
0%
Between 4 and 6
10%
Between 7 and 9
49%
Between 10 and 12
32%
Between 13 and 15
8%
16 or more
1%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for "Food" in November 2022?
60 Forecasters • 142 Forecasts
Started
May 27, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 5.0%
0%
Between 5.0% and 7.5%, inclusive
0%
More than 7.5% but less than 10.0%
22%
Between 10.0% and 12.5%, inclusive
53%
More than 12.5% but less than 15.0%
25%
15.0% or more
0%
David Epstein
asks:
What will be the value of the Green Markets Weekly North American Fertilizer Price Index for the week from 2 December 2022?
35 Forecasters • 154 Forecasts
Started
Apr 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 02, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 700.00
0%
Between 700.00 and 900.00, inclusive
21%
More than 900.00 but less than 1,100.00
48%
Between 1,100.00 and 1,300.00, inclusive
31%
More than 1,300.00 but less than 1,500.00
0%
Between 1,500.00 and 1,700.00, inclusive
0%
More than 1,700.00
0%
Between 29 April 2022 and 1 December 2022, will the United States launch either an ICBM or a submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM) with an estimated range of at least 10,000 km?
12%
Chance
75 Forecasters • 173 Forecasts
Started
Apr 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 02, 2022 08:01AM UTC
What will be the market capitalization for the global cryptocurrency market on 2 December 2022, according to CoinMarketCap?
14 Forecasters • 17 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 02, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than $400 billion
11%
Between $400 billion and $800 billion, inclusive
38%
More than $800 billion but less than $1.2 trillion
50%
Between $1.2 trillion and $1.6 trillion, inclusive
1%
More than $1.6 trillion but less than $2.0 trillion
0%
Between $2.0 trillion and $2.4 trillion, inclusive
0%
More than $2.4 trillion
0%
Who will be elected governor of Georgia in 2022?
95 Forecasters • 200 Forecasts
Started
Feb 04, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 06, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
32%
The Republican Party candidate
68%
Someone else
0%
Maarten
asks:
How far will the United States advance in the FIFA World Cup 2022?
83 Forecasters • 106 Forecasts
Started
May 13, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 14, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Group Stage
40%
Round of 16
47%
Quarterfinals
13%
Semi-finals (3rd or 4th Place)
0%
Finals (1st or 2nd Place)
0%
Maarten
asks:
How far will France advance in the FIFA World Cup 2022?
50 Forecasters • 66 Forecasts
Started
Jun 03, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 14, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Group Stage
1%
Round of 16
17%
Quarterfinals
38%
Semi-finals (3rd or 4th Place)
28%
Finals (1st or 2nd Place)
16%
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