In the News 2022

Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC (6 months)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!

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When will Russia and Ukraine sign or announce an agreement to end the current conflict in Ukraine?

241 Forecasters • 955 Forecasts
Started Mar 18, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Before 1 June 2022
0%
Between 1 June 2022 and 31 July 2022
0%
Between 1 August 2022 and 30 September 2022
4%
Between 1 October 2022 and 30 November 2022
10%
Not before 1 December 2022
86%
David Epstein asks:

Between 29 April 2022 and 30 November 2022, will North Korea detonate a nuclear device?

64%

Chance
99 Forecasters • 327 Forecasts
Started Apr 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

How many total hurricanes will occur in the Atlantic Ocean in the 2022 hurricane season, according to the National Hurricane Center?

64 Forecasters • 182 Forecasts
Started May 06, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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3 or fewer
0%
Between 4 and 6
10%
Between 7 and 9
49%
Between 10 and 12
32%
Between 13 and 15
8%
16 or more
1%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for "Food" in November 2022?

60 Forecasters • 142 Forecasts
Started May 27, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Less than 5.0%
0%
Between 5.0% and 7.5%, inclusive
0%
More than 7.5% but less than 10.0%
22%
Between 10.0% and 12.5%, inclusive
53%
More than 12.5% but less than 15.0%
25%
15.0% or more
0%
David Epstein asks:

What will be the value of the Green Markets Weekly North American Fertilizer Price Index for the week from 2 December 2022?

35 Forecasters • 154 Forecasts
Started Apr 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 02, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Less than 700.00
0%
Between 700.00 and 900.00, inclusive
21%
More than 900.00 but less than 1,100.00
48%
Between 1,100.00 and 1,300.00, inclusive
31%
More than 1,300.00 but less than 1,500.00
0%
Between 1,500.00 and 1,700.00, inclusive
0%
More than 1,700.00
0%

What will be the market capitalization for the global cryptocurrency market on 2 December 2022, according to CoinMarketCap?

14 Forecasters • 17 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 02, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Less than $400 billion
11%
Between $400 billion and $800 billion, inclusive
38%
More than $800 billion but less than $1.2 trillion
50%
Between $1.2 trillion and $1.6 trillion, inclusive
1%
More than $1.6 trillion but less than $2.0 trillion
0%
Between $2.0 trillion and $2.4 trillion, inclusive
0%
More than $2.4 trillion
0%

Who will be elected governor of Georgia in 2022?

95 Forecasters • 200 Forecasts
Started Feb 04, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 06, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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The Democratic Party candidate
32%
The Republican Party candidate
68%
Someone else
0%
Maarten asks:

How far will the United States advance in the FIFA World Cup 2022?

83 Forecasters • 106 Forecasts
Started May 13, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 14, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Group Stage
40%
Round of 16
47%
Quarterfinals
13%
Semi-finals (3rd or 4th Place)
0%
Finals (1st or 2nd Place)
0%
Maarten asks:

How far will France advance in the FIFA World Cup 2022?

50 Forecasters • 66 Forecasts
Started Jun 03, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 14, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Group Stage
1%
Round of 16
17%
Quarterfinals
38%
Semi-finals (3rd or 4th Place)
28%
Finals (1st or 2nd Place)
16%
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