In the News 2022

Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC (6 months)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!

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Who will win the US Senate election for Nevada in 2022?

57 Forecasters • 162 Forecasts
Started Feb 18, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
45%
The Republican Party candidate
55%
Someone else
0%
David Epstein asks:

Who will win the US Senate election for Georgia in 2022?

67 Forecasters • 158 Forecasts
Started Mar 18, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
48%
The Republican Party candidate
52%
Someone else
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the annual rate of inflation in the European Union reach or exceed 4.0% in December 2022?

99%

Chance
101 Forecasters • 155 Forecasts
Started Feb 25, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
David Epstein asks:

What will be the value of the Green Markets Weekly North American Fertilizer Price Index for the week from 2 December 2022?

35 Forecasters • 154 Forecasts
Started Apr 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 02, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 700.00
0%
Between 700.00 and 900.00, inclusive
21%
More than 900.00 but less than 1,100.00
48%
Between 1,100.00 and 1,300.00, inclusive
31%
More than 1,300.00 but less than 1,500.00
0%
Between 1,500.00 and 1,700.00, inclusive
0%
More than 1,700.00
0%
David Epstein asks:

How many total vehicles will be sold in the US in 2022?

49 Forecasters • 154 Forecasts
Started Apr 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 13.0 million
5%
Between 13.0 million and 13.6 million, inclusive
35%
More than 13.6 million but fewer than 14.2 million
48%
Between 14.2 million and 14.8 million, inclusive
12%
More than 14.8 million but fewer than 15.4 million
0%
Between 15.4 million and 16.0 million, inclusive
0%
More than 16.0 million
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will US federal legislation providing for new tax credits for the purchase of electric vehicles (EVs) become law before 19 August 2022?

2%

Chance
48 Forecasters • 152 Forecasts
Started Feb 18, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 19, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Who will win the US Senate election for Arizona in 2022?

67 Forecasters • 151 Forecasts
Started Feb 25, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
45%
The Republican Party candidate
55%
Someone else
0%

As of 8 November 2022, how many birds in commercial and backyard flocks will have confirmations of highly pathogenic avian flu (HPAI) in 2022, according to the USDA?

24 Forecasters • 145 Forecasts
Started Apr 22, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 08, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 40 million
0%
Between 40 million and 50 million, inclusive
85%
More than 50 million but fewer than 70 million
15%
Between 70 million and 100 million, inclusive
0%
More than 100 million but fewer than 150 million
0%
150 million or more
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for "Food" in November 2022?

60 Forecasters • 142 Forecasts
Started May 27, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 5.0%
0%
Between 5.0% and 7.5%, inclusive
0%
More than 7.5% but less than 10.0%
22%
Between 10.0% and 12.5%, inclusive
53%
More than 12.5% but less than 15.0%
25%
15.0% or more
0%
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