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In the News 2022
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
(5 months)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!
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Will federal legislation providing for the establishment of a US interagency committee on global catastrophic risk become law before 1 January 2023?
55%
Chance
13 Forecasters • 19 Forecasts
Started
Jul 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of Taiwan and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 1 January 2023?
6%
Chance
37 Forecasters • 46 Forecasts
Started
Aug 05, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will be the total passenger throughput at airports in China in December 2022?
10 Forecasters • 11 Forecasts
Started
Aug 05, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 20 million
0%
Between 20 million and 40 million, inclusive
36%
More than 40 million but fewer than 60 million
46%
Between 60 million and 80 million, inclusive
16%
More than 80 million but fewer than 100 million
2%
100 million or more
0%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will the annual percent change in the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index be at or below 3.0% by December 2022?
20%
Chance
15 Forecasters • 19 Forecasts
Started
Aug 05, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 January 2023, will Amazon announce that it will spin off Amazon Web Services (AWS)?
1%
Chance
129 Forecasters • 341 Forecasts
Started
Jul 21, 2021 02:28PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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