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In the News 2022

Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC (5 months)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!

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Will federal legislation providing for the establishment of a US interagency committee on global catastrophic risk become law before 1 January 2023?

55%

Chance
13 Forecasters • 19 Forecasts
Started Jul 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the total passenger throughput at airports in China in December 2022?

10 Forecasters • 11 Forecasts
Started Aug 05, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 20 million
0%
Between 20 million and 40 million, inclusive
36%
More than 40 million but fewer than 60 million
46%
Between 60 million and 80 million, inclusive
16%
More than 80 million but fewer than 100 million
2%
100 million or more
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the annual percent change in the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index be at or below 3.0% by December 2022?

20%

Chance
15 Forecasters • 19 Forecasts
Started Aug 05, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 January 2023, will Amazon announce that it will spin off Amazon Web Services (AWS)?

1%

Chance
129 Forecasters • 341 Forecasts
Started Jul 21, 2021 02:28PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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