In the News 2022

Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC (6 months)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!

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What will be the US office vacancy rate for the fourth quarter of 2022, according to Colliers?

44 Forecasters • 240 Forecasts
Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 12.5%
0%
Between 12.5% and 14.0%, inclusive
40%
Higher than 14.0% but lower than 15.5%
56%
Between 15.5% and 17.0%, inclusive
4%
Higher than 17.0%
0%

What percentage of venture capital dollars will go to US startups with female-only founders in 2022, according to Crunchbase?

48 Forecasters • 241 Forecasts
Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 2.5%
64%
Between 2.5% and 2.9%, inclusive
28%
More than 2.9% but less than 3.5%
7%
3.5% or more
1%

Before 1 September 2022, will Egypt, Ethiopia, and Sudan sign an agreement governing the filling of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) reservoir?

0%

Chance
59 Forecasters • 166 Forecasts
Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

What will be the US producer price index for Internet advertising sales in June 2022?

35 Forecasters • 316 Forecasts
Started Sep 03, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 60.0
0%
Between 60.0 and 66.0, inclusive
0%
Higher than 66.0 but lower than 72.0
34%
Between 72.0 and 78.0, inclusive
67%
Higher than 78.0 but lower than 84.0
0%
84.0 or higher
0%
asks:

When will the Scottish government officially request discussions on or agreement to a Section 30 order from the UK government that would enable the Scottish government to call a new independence referendum?

183 Forecasters • 597 Forecasts
Started Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 January 2022
0%
Between 1 January 2022 and 30 June 2022
0%
Between 1 July 2022 and 31 December 2022
11%
Not before 1 January 2023
89%
The Economist and Private Superforecasting Workshop ask:

Will Amazon.com begin to accept any cryptocurrency for purchases on the US site before 1 October 2022?

5%

Chance
377 Forecasters • 972 Forecasts
Started Jul 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 January 2023, will Amazon announce that it will spin off Amazon Web Services (AWS)?

1%

Chance
124 Forecasters • 324 Forecasts
Started Jul 21, 2021 02:28PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 July 2022, will the US impose sanctions on any Chinese person or entity for actions related to the COVID-19 pandemic?

0%

Chance
227 Forecasters • 521 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2021 09:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

What will be the annual rate of headline inflation in the US, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), in June 2022?

916 Forecasters • 2208 Forecasts
Started Jun 18, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 0.0%
0%
Between 0.0% and 2.0%, inclusive
0%
More than 2.0% but less than 3.0%
0%
Between 3.0% and 4.0%, inclusive
0%
More than 4.0% but less than 5.0%
0%
5.0% or more
100%
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