In the News 2022

Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC (11 months)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!

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The Economist asks:

What will be the FAO Food Price Index for June 2022?

102 Forecasters • 160 Forecasts
Started Jan 07, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 120.0
2%
Between 120.0 and 130.0, inclusive
21%
More than 130.0 but less than 140.0
47%
Between 140.0 and 150.0, inclusive
25%
More than 150.0
5%
Nick-Nolan asks:

Between 30 December 2021 and 31 May 2022, will NATO and/or a NATO member state accuse Russian national military forces of invading Ukraine?

205 Forecasters • 592 Forecasts
Started Dec 30, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, invading the Donetsk and/or Luhansk Oblasts only
22%
Yes, invading Ukrainian territory outside of Donetsk and/or Luhansk Oblasts only
2%
Yes, invading the Donetsk and/or Luhansk Oblasts as well as other Ukrainian territory
28%
No
48%

When will the 7-day moving average of daily cases of COVID-19 in the US reported to the CDC next be 50,000 or lower?

118 Forecasters • 237 Forecasts
Started Dec 30, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 February 2022
0%
Between 1 February 2022 and 31 March 2022
13%
Between 1 April 2022 and 31 May 2022
50%
Between 1 June 2022 and 31 July 2022
27%
Not before 1 August 2022
10%
The Economist and DippySkippy ask:

Before 23 June 2022, will Boris Johnson cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?

50%

Chance
320 Forecasters • 790 Forecasts
Started Dec 23, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 23, 2022 07:01AM UTC

When will the number of fully vaccinated people with a booster dose for COVID-19 in the US reach or exceed 165 million?

89 Forecasters • 200 Forecasts
Started Dec 23, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 15 February 2022
0%
Between 15 February 2022 and 31 March 2022
0%
Between 1 April 2022 and 15 May 2022
0%
Between 16 May 2022 and 30 June 2022
8%
Not before 1 July 2022
92%

How many total deaths attributed to COVID-19 in the US will be reported as of 1 May 2022?

98 Forecasters • 258 Forecasts
Started Dec 23, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing May 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 900,000
0%
Between 900,000 and 975,000, inclusive
22%
More than 975,000 but fewer than 1,050,000
60%
Between 1,050,000 and 1,125,000, inclusive
17%
More than 1,125,000 but fewer than 1,200,000
1%
Between 1,200,000 and 1,275,000 inclusive
0%
More than 1,275,000
0%

Between 24 December 2021 and 31 March 2022, what will be the highest seven-day average for COVID-19 patients in the UK to be admitted to [a] hospital?

61 Forecasters • 308 Forecasts
Started Dec 23, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 1,500
0%
Between 1,500 and 2,000, inclusive
0%
More than 2,000 but less that 2,500
97%
Between 2,500 and 3,000, inclusive
3%
More than 3,000 but less than 3,500
0%
Between 3,500 and 4,000, inclusive
0%
More than 4,000
0%
The Economist asks:

Will the spread between US high-yield corporate bonds and US Treasuries reach or exceed 5.00% before 1 October 2022?

25%

Chance
133 Forecasters • 208 Forecasts
Started Dec 17, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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