In the News 2022

Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC (7 months)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!

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What will be the closing value of the US dollar/Russian ruble exchange rate on 15 July 2022?

140 Forecasters • 846 Forecasts
Started Mar 04, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 15, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 75.00
74%
Between 75.00 and 100.00, inclusive
25%
Higher than 100.00 but lower than 125.00
1%
Between 125.00 and 150.00, inclusive
0%
More than 150.00
0%

Before 1 January 2023, will the Nord Stream 2 pipeline begin delivering natural gas to Germany?

0%

Chance
290 Forecasters • 841 Forecasts
Started Jan 21, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Will Russia officially recognize Transnistria (Pridnestrovskaia Moldavskaia Republic) in Moldova as an independent state before 1 August 2022?

15%

Chance
219 Forecasters • 810 Forecasts
Started Feb 24, 2022 05:30PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Chrisp, 024_andrew, belikewater, and David Epstein ask:

Which party will win control of the US Senate in the 2022 midterm elections?

379 Forecasters • 801 Forecasts
Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 11, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Democratic Party
28%
Republican Party
73%
Private Superforecasting Workshop and Tylerdurden03 ask:

Between 4 February 2022 and 31 December 2022, will a country formally progress in the NATO accession process?

99%

Chance
280 Forecasters • 788 Forecasts
Started Feb 04, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Which team will win the 2022 NBA Finals?

77 Forecasters • 768 Forecasts
Started Nov 05, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 19, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Atlanta Hawks
0%
Brooklyn Nets
0%
Dallas Mavericks
4%
Denver Nuggets
0%
Golden State Warriors
38%
Los Angeles Clippers
0%
Los Angeles Lakers
0%
Miami Heat
23%
Milwaukee Bucks
0%
Philadelphia 76ers
0%
Phoenix Suns
0%
Utah Jazz
0%
Another team
35%
The Economist asks:

When will the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA) next screen 2.3 million or more travelers per day for three consecutive days?

191 Forecasters • 748 Forecasts
Started Nov 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 January 2022
0%
Between 1 January 2022 and 31 March 2022
0%
Between 1 April 2022 and 30 June 2022
54%
Between 1 July 2022 and 30 September 2022
35%
Not before 1 October 2022
11%

When will Russia and Ukraine sign or announce an agreement to end the current conflict in Ukraine?

222 Forecasters • 742 Forecasts
Started Mar 18, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 June 2022
0%
Between 1 June 2022 and 31 July 2022
3%
Between 1 August 2022 and 30 September 2022
6%
Between 1 October 2022 and 30 November 2022
10%
Not before 1 December 2022
81%
The Economist asks:

What will be the FAO Food Price Index for June 2022?

171 Forecasters • 703 Forecasts
Started Jan 07, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 120.0
0%
Between 120.0 and 130.0, inclusive
0%
More than 130.0 but less than 140.0
0%
Between 140.0 and 150.0, inclusive
2%
More than 150.0
98%
Balzac and David Epstein ask:

Before 5 August 2022, will Russia detonate a nuclear device outside of Russian territory or airspace?

1%

Chance
326 Forecasters • 697 Forecasts
Started Mar 04, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 05, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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