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In the News 2022
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
(7 months)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!
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The Economist
asks:
What will be the market capitalization for the global cryptocurrency market on 11 August 2022, according to CoinMarketCap?
170 Forecasters • 683 Forecasts
Started
Nov 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Aug 11, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than $1.0 trillion
6%
Between $1.0 trillion and $2.0 trillion, inclusive
63%
More than $2.0 trillion but less than $3.0 trillion
29%
Between $3.0 trillion and $4.0 trillion, inclusive
2%
More than $4.0 trillion but less than $5.0 trillion
0%
$5.0 trillion or more
0%
Chrisp
,
024_andrew
,
belikewater
, and
David Epstein
ask:
Which party will win control of the US House of Representatives in the 2022 midterm elections?
312 Forecasters • 659 Forecasts
Started
Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 11, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Democratic Party
20%
Republican Party
80%
What percentage of Germany's population will be fully vaccinated against COVID-19 as of 1 June 2022?
142 Forecasters • 629 Forecasts
Started
Nov 19, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jun 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 70.00%
0%
Between 70.00% and 75.00%, inclusive
0%
More than 75.00% but less than 80.00%
100%
Between 80.00% and 85.00%, inclusive
0%
More than 85.00%
0%
What will be the closing price of wheat in the US on 15 June 2022?
127 Forecasters • 624 Forecasts
Started
Feb 25, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jun 15, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 700.00
0%
Between 700.00 and 825.00, inclusive
0%
More than 825.00 but less than 950.00
0%
Between 950.00 and 1,075.00, inclusive
11%
More than 1,075.00 but less than 1,200.00, inclusive
43%
1,200.00 or more
46%
asks:
Will the Conservative Party hold a vote of no confidence in Boris Johnson in 2022?
211 Forecasters • 597 Forecasts
Started
Feb 04, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and it will pass
5%
Yes, but it will not pass
10%
No
85%
Will Taiwan publicly accuse the People's Republic of China of flying a military aircraft over the territory of and/or the territorial waters surrounding the main island of Taiwan without its permission before 1 September 2022?
35%
Chance
205 Forecasters • 579 Forecasts
Started
Oct 22, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
The Economist
asks:
Will the spread between US high-yield corporate bonds and US Treasuries reach or exceed 5.00% before 1 October 2022?
65%
Chance
174 Forecasters • 570 Forecasts
Started
Dec 17, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
How many deaths attributed to COVID-19 worldwide will be reported as of 28 July 2022?
72 Forecasters • 565 Forecasts
Started
Nov 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 28, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 6.0 million
0%
Between 6.0 million and 6.5 million, inclusive
94%
More than 6.5 million but fewer than 7.0 million
6%
Between 7.0 million and 7.5 million, inclusive
0%
More than 7.5 million but fewer than 8.0 million
0%
8.0 million or more
0%
The Economist
and Private
Superforecasting Workshop
ask:
What will be the US domestic auto inventory as of May 2022?
149 Forecasters • 560 Forecasts
Started
Oct 22, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jun 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 100.0 (thousands)
89%
Between 100.0 (thousands) and 300.0 (thousands), inclusive
11%
More than 300.0 (thousands) but fewer than 500.0 (thousands)
0%
Between 500.0 (thousands) and 700.0 (thousands), inclusive
0%
More than 700.0 (thousands)
0%
asks:
When will the Scottish government officially request discussions on or agreement to a Section 30 order from the UK government that would enable the Scottish government to call a new independence referendum?
177 Forecasters • 544 Forecasts
Started
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 January 2022
0%
Between 1 January 2022 and 30 June 2022
0%
Between 1 July 2022 and 31 December 2022
11%
Not before 1 January 2023
89%
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