In the News 2022

Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC (7 months)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!

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The Economist asks:

What will be the market capitalization for the global cryptocurrency market on 11 August 2022, according to CoinMarketCap?

170 Forecasters • 683 Forecasts
Started Nov 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 11, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $1.0 trillion
6%
Between $1.0 trillion and $2.0 trillion, inclusive
63%
More than $2.0 trillion but less than $3.0 trillion
29%
Between $3.0 trillion and $4.0 trillion, inclusive
2%
More than $4.0 trillion but less than $5.0 trillion
0%
$5.0 trillion or more
0%
Chrisp, 024_andrew, belikewater, and David Epstein ask:

Which party will win control of the US House of Representatives in the 2022 midterm elections?

312 Forecasters • 659 Forecasts
Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 11, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Democratic Party
20%
Republican Party
80%

What percentage of Germany's population will be fully vaccinated against COVID-19 as of 1 June 2022?

142 Forecasters • 629 Forecasts
Started Nov 19, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 70.00%
0%
Between 70.00% and 75.00%, inclusive
0%
More than 75.00% but less than 80.00%
100%
Between 80.00% and 85.00%, inclusive
0%
More than 85.00%
0%

What will be the closing price of wheat in the US on 15 June 2022?

127 Forecasters • 624 Forecasts
Started Feb 25, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 15, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 700.00
0%
Between 700.00 and 825.00, inclusive
0%
More than 825.00 but less than 950.00
0%
Between 950.00 and 1,075.00, inclusive
11%
More than 1,075.00 but less than 1,200.00, inclusive
43%
1,200.00 or more
46%
asks:

Will the Conservative Party hold a vote of no confidence in Boris Johnson in 2022?

211 Forecasters • 597 Forecasts
Started Feb 04, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and it will pass
5%
Yes, but it will not pass
10%
No
85%
The Economist asks:

Will the spread between US high-yield corporate bonds and US Treasuries reach or exceed 5.00% before 1 October 2022?

65%

Chance
174 Forecasters • 570 Forecasts
Started Dec 17, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

How many deaths attributed to COVID-19 worldwide will be reported as of 28 July 2022?

72 Forecasters • 565 Forecasts
Started Nov 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 28, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 6.0 million
0%
Between 6.0 million and 6.5 million, inclusive
94%
More than 6.5 million but fewer than 7.0 million
6%
Between 7.0 million and 7.5 million, inclusive
0%
More than 7.5 million but fewer than 8.0 million
0%
8.0 million or more
0%
The Economist and Private Superforecasting Workshop ask:

What will be the US domestic auto inventory as of May 2022?

149 Forecasters • 560 Forecasts
Started Oct 22, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 100.0 (thousands)
89%
Between 100.0 (thousands) and 300.0 (thousands), inclusive
11%
More than 300.0 (thousands) but fewer than 500.0 (thousands)
0%
Between 500.0 (thousands) and 700.0 (thousands), inclusive
0%
More than 700.0 (thousands)
0%
asks:

When will the Scottish government officially request discussions on or agreement to a Section 30 order from the UK government that would enable the Scottish government to call a new independence referendum?

177 Forecasters • 544 Forecasts
Started Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 January 2022
0%
Between 1 January 2022 and 30 June 2022
0%
Between 1 July 2022 and 31 December 2022
11%
Not before 1 January 2023
89%
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