In the News 2022

Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC (7 months)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!

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The Economist asks:

How many total Southwest Land Border Encounters will be reported in the US from April 2022 through June 2022 by US Customs and Border Protection (CBP)?

59 Forecasters • 217 Forecasts
Started Feb 18, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 250,000
0%
Between 250,000 and 400,000, inclusive
0%
More than 400,000 but fewer than 550,000
0%
Between 550,000 and 700,000, inclusive
46%
More than 700,000
54%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

As of 1 July 2022, will France and/or Germany require the wearing of face masks in indoor public places?

87 Forecasters • 174 Forecasts
Started Feb 25, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Yes, France only
1%
Yes, Germany only
2%
Yes, both France and Germany
5%
No
92%

How many cumulative confirmed cases of COVID-19 will be reported for China as of 30 June 2022, according to Our World in Data?

45 Forecasters • 313 Forecasts
Started Apr 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 500,000
0%
Between 500,000 and 1.0 million, inclusive
0%
More than 1.0 million but fewer than 1.5 million
90%
Between 1.5 million and 2.5 million, inclusive
10%
More than 2.5 million but fewer than 4.0 million
0%
Between 4.0 million and 6.0 million, inclusive
0%
More than 6.0 million
0%

In Gallup's 2022 Confidence in Institutions survey, what percentage of respondents will say they have either a "Great deal" or "Quite a lot" of confidence in the US Supreme Court?

38 Forecasters • 72 Forecasts
Started May 13, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 29%
7%
Between 29% and 33%, inclusive
35%
More than 33% but less than 39%
57%
Between 39% and 43%, inclusive
1%
More than 43%
0%

What will be the US producer price index for Internet advertising sales in June 2022?

34 Forecasters • 263 Forecasts
Started Sep 03, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 60.0
0%
Between 60.0 and 66.0, inclusive
1%
Higher than 66.0 but lower than 72.0
48%
Between 72.0 and 78.0, inclusive
50%
Higher than 78.0 but lower than 84.0
1%
84.0 or higher
0%

What will be the annual rate of headline inflation in the US, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), in June 2022?

840 Forecasters • 2032 Forecasts
Started Jun 18, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 0.0%
0%
Between 0.0% and 2.0%, inclusive
0%
More than 2.0% but less than 3.0%
0%
Between 3.0% and 4.0%, inclusive
0%
More than 4.0% but less than 5.0%
2%
5.0% or more
98%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 July 2022, will the US impose sanctions on any Chinese person or entity for actions related to the COVID-19 pandemic?

0%

Chance
218 Forecasters • 500 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2021 09:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Bobbiekar52 asks:

What will be the average price of a gallon of gasoline in the US for the week ending 4 July 2022?

59 Forecasters • 219 Forecasts
Started Mar 18, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 04, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 3.000
0%
Between 3.000 and 3.400, inclusive
0%
More than 3.400 but less than 3.800
0%
Between 3.800 and 4.200, inclusive
28%
More than 4.200 but less than 4.600
59%
Between 4.600 and 5.000, inclusive
12%
More than 5.000
1%

Will Kassym-Jomart Tokayev either flee Kazakhstan or cease to be its president before 7 July 2022?

1%

Chance
165 Forecasters • 540 Forecasts
Started Jan 07, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 07, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Before 9 July 2022, will the Israeli Knesset vote to dissolve itself?

18%

Chance
39 Forecasters • 92 Forecasts
Started Apr 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 09, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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