In the News 2022

Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC (7 months)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!

Status

Type

Sort By

Will Kassym-Jomart Tokayev either flee Kazakhstan or cease to be its president before 7 July 2022?

1%

Chance
165 Forecasters • 540 Forecasts
Started Jan 07, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 07, 2022 07:01AM UTC

What will be Russia's annual rate of inflation in September 2022?

171 Forecasters • 515 Forecasts
Started Dec 10, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 3.0%
0%
Between 3.0% and 5.0%, inclusive
0%
Higher than 5.0% but lower than 7.0%
0%
Between 7.0% and 9.0%, inclusive
1%
Higher than 9.0%
99%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 July 2022, will the US impose sanctions on any Chinese person or entity for actions related to the COVID-19 pandemic?

0%

Chance
218 Forecasters • 500 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2021 09:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Between 4 February 2022 and 4 August 2022, will anti-government protests in Russia result in ten or more fatalities?

4%

Chance
204 Forecasters • 498 Forecasts
Started Mar 04, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 05, 2022 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2022, will Facebook announce that Mark Zuckerberg will cease to be the company's sole Chairman or CEO?

3%

Chance
222 Forecasters • 487 Forecasts
Started Oct 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

What will be the annual rate of inflation for the eurozone in October 2022?

129 Forecasters • 483 Forecasts
Started Dec 10, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 1.0%
0%
Between 1.0% and 1.9%, inclusive
0%
More than 1.9% but less than 3.0%
0%
Between 3.0% and 3.9%, inclusive
0%
More than 3.9% but less than 5.0%
10%
5.0% or more
90%
Bobbiekar52 asks:

Before 5 August 2022, will a NATO member state accuse Russia of using a chemical or biological weapon in Ukraine?

20%

Chance
162 Forecasters • 478 Forecasts
Started Apr 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 05, 2022 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Will the powers of the government of Myanmar cease to be held by the military before 1 October 2022?

3%

Chance
207 Forecasters • 434 Forecasts
Started Jan 07, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 31 July 2022, according to FiveThirtyEight?

122 Forecasters • 424 Forecasts
Started Mar 04, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 31, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 35.0%
0%
Between 35.0% and 40.0%, inclusive
19%
Higher than 40.0% but lower than 45.0%
79%
Between 45.0% and 50.0%, inclusive
2%
Higher than 50.0%
0%
The Economist asks:

How many job openings in the US will the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report for July 2022?

146 Forecasters • 421 Forecasts
Started Oct 22, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 6 million
0%
Between 6 million and 7 million, inclusive
0%
More than 7 million but fewer than 8 million
1%
Between 8 million and 9 million, inclusive
22%
More than 9 million but fewer than 10 million
40%
Between 10 million and 11 million, inclusive
30%
More than 11 million
7%
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Cancel