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In the News 2022
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
(7 months)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!
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Will Kassym-Jomart Tokayev either flee Kazakhstan or cease to be its president before 7 July 2022?
1%
Chance
165 Forecasters • 540 Forecasts
Started
Jan 07, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 07, 2022 07:01AM UTC
What will be Russia's annual rate of inflation in September 2022?
171 Forecasters • 515 Forecasts
Started
Dec 10, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 3.0%
0%
Between 3.0% and 5.0%, inclusive
0%
Higher than 5.0% but lower than 7.0%
0%
Between 7.0% and 9.0%, inclusive
1%
Higher than 9.0%
99%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 July 2022, will the US impose sanctions on any Chinese person or entity for actions related to the COVID-19 pandemic?
0%
Chance
218 Forecasters • 500 Forecasts
Started
Jun 24, 2021 09:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Between 4 February 2022 and 4 August 2022, will anti-government protests in Russia result in ten or more fatalities?
4%
Chance
204 Forecasters • 498 Forecasts
Started
Mar 04, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Aug 05, 2022 07:01AM UTC
The Economist
asks:
Before 1 October 2022, will Facebook announce that Mark Zuckerberg will cease to be the company's sole Chairman or CEO?
3%
Chance
222 Forecasters • 487 Forecasts
Started
Oct 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
What will be the annual rate of inflation for the eurozone in October 2022?
129 Forecasters • 483 Forecasts
Started
Dec 10, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 1.0%
0%
Between 1.0% and 1.9%, inclusive
0%
More than 1.9% but less than 3.0%
0%
Between 3.0% and 3.9%, inclusive
0%
More than 3.9% but less than 5.0%
10%
5.0% or more
90%
Bobbiekar52
asks:
Before 5 August 2022, will a NATO member state accuse Russia of using a chemical or biological weapon in Ukraine?
20%
Chance
162 Forecasters • 478 Forecasts
Started
Apr 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Aug 05, 2022 07:01AM UTC
The Economist
asks:
Will the powers of the government of Myanmar cease to be held by the military before 1 October 2022?
3%
Chance
207 Forecasters • 434 Forecasts
Started
Jan 07, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 31 July 2022, according to FiveThirtyEight?
122 Forecasters • 424 Forecasts
Started
Mar 04, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 31, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 35.0%
0%
Between 35.0% and 40.0%, inclusive
19%
Higher than 40.0% but lower than 45.0%
79%
Between 45.0% and 50.0%, inclusive
2%
Higher than 50.0%
0%
The Economist
asks:
How many job openings in the US will the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report for July 2022?
146 Forecasters • 421 Forecasts
Started
Oct 22, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Aug 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 6 million
0%
Between 6 million and 7 million, inclusive
0%
More than 7 million but fewer than 8 million
1%
Between 8 million and 9 million, inclusive
22%
More than 9 million but fewer than 10 million
40%
Between 10 million and 11 million, inclusive
30%
More than 11 million
7%
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