In the News 2022

Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC (6 months)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!

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David Epstein asks:

Between 11 March 2022 and 9 September 2022, will Russia publicly announce that it has moved nuclear weapons into either Belarus or Ukraine?

4%

Chance
205 Forecasters • 540 Forecasts
Started Mar 11, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 10, 2022 07:01AM UTC
SE_Meyer asks:

What will be the closing value of the ICE US Dollar Index on 16 September 2022?

29 Forecasters • 78 Forecasts
Started Jun 10, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 16, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 95.00
1%
Between 95.00 and 100.00, inclusive
5%
More than 100.00 but less than 105.00
34%
Between 105.00 and 110.00, inclusive
48%
More than 110.00 but less than 115.00
12%
115.00 or more
0%
Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

What will be the average temperature at Dubai International Airport between 1 May 2022 and 30 September 2022?

57 Forecasters • 277 Forecasts
Started Sep 24, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 34.5 degrees Celsius
0%
Between 34.5 and 35.5 degrees Celsius, inclusive
18%
More than 35.5 and but less than 36.5 degrees Celsius
78%
Between 36.5 and 37.5 degrees Celsius, inclusive
4%
More than 37.5 degrees Celsius
0%
The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2022, will Facebook announce that Mark Zuckerberg will cease to be the company's sole Chairman or CEO?

3%

Chance
229 Forecasters • 518 Forecasts
Started Oct 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Will legislation amending or repealing Section 230 of the Communications Act of 1934 become law before 1 October 2022?

5%

Chance
156 Forecasters • 444 Forecasts
Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

When will the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA) next screen 2.3 million or more travelers per day for three consecutive days?

197 Forecasters • 973 Forecasts
Started Nov 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 January 2022
0%
Between 1 January 2022 and 31 March 2022
0%
Between 1 April 2022 and 30 June 2022
41%
Between 1 July 2022 and 30 September 2022
48%
Not before 1 October 2022
11%

What will be Russia's annual rate of inflation in September 2022?

172 Forecasters • 596 Forecasts
Started Dec 10, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 3.0%
0%
Between 3.0% and 5.0%, inclusive
0%
Higher than 5.0% but lower than 7.0%
0%
Between 7.0% and 9.0%, inclusive
0%
Higher than 9.0%
100%
The Economist asks:

Will total fire activity in the Amazon for January through September 2022 exceed the total for January through September 2021?

84%

Chance
168 Forecasters • 351 Forecasts
Started Jan 07, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Will the powers of the government of Myanmar cease to be held by the military before 1 October 2022?

1%

Chance
222 Forecasters • 539 Forecasts
Started Jan 07, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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