Toggle navigation
Blog
Challenges
Sign In
Sign Up
In the News 2022
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
(6 months)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!
Questions
Leaderboard
Activity
Status
Active
Coming Soon
Active
Pending Resolution
Resolved
Suspended
Type
all
All
Forecasting Questions
Discussion Questions
Sort By
Start Date
End Date
Number of Predictions
Alphabetically
Filter By
Featured Questions
Questions I'm Following
Questions I've Forecasted
Questions I've Not Forecasted
Tags
Select All
Business (78)
only
US Politics (47)
only
Technology (45)
only
Non-US Politics (42)
only
Security and Conflict (42)
only
Society (42)
only
Elections and Referenda (40)
only
Foreign Policy (38)
only
Leader Entry/Exit (37)
only
Economic Indicators (30)
only
US Policy (30)
only
Finance (25)
only
Economic Policy (19)
only
Health (13)
only
Entertainment (9)
only
Sports (9)
only
Environment (8)
only
Show more
Bobbiekar52
asks:
Will there be a complex coordinated terrorist attack (CCTA) in the United States either directed or inspired by a foreign terrorist organization resulting in at least five fatalities before 1 September 2022?
3%
Chance
112 Forecasters • 346 Forecasts
Started
Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
When will the number of fully vaccinated people with a booster dose for COVID-19 in the US reach or exceed 165 million?
132 Forecasters • 341 Forecasts
Started
Dec 23, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Before 15 February 2022
0%
Between 15 February 2022 and 31 March 2022
0%
Between 1 April 2022 and 15 May 2022
0%
Between 16 May 2022 and 30 June 2022
0%
Not before 1 July 2022
100%
David Epstein
asks:
What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US core Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October 2022?
74 Forecasters • 340 Forecasts
Started
Apr 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 3.0%
0%
Between 3.0% and 4.5%, inclusive
0%
Higher than 4.5% but lower than 6.0%
45%
Between 6.0% and 7.5%, inclusive
50%
Higher than 7.5% but lower than 9.0%
5%
9.0% or higher
0%
Who will win the 2022 presidential election in Brazil?
114 Forecasters • 338 Forecasts
Started
Dec 03, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 30, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Jair Bolsonaro
20%
João Doria
0%
Ciro Gomes
0%
Sérgio Moro
0%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
80%
Another candidate
0%
Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Afghanistan in 2022?
48%
Chance
120 Forecasters • 338 Forecasts
Started
Jan 28, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Between 8 April 2022 and 8 October 2022, will NATO or a NATO member state publicly accuse the People's Republic of China of having provided lethal aid to Russia after 24 February 2022 for use in Ukraine?
2%
Chance
110 Forecasters • 338 Forecasts
Started
Apr 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 08, 2022 07:01AM UTC
What will be China's year-on-year GDP growth rate for the second quarter of 2022?
53 Forecasters • 337 Forecasts
Started
Nov 05, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 4.0%
96%
Between 4.0% and 5.0%, inclusive
4%
More than 5.0% but less than 6.0%
0%
Between 6.0% and 7.0%, inclusive
0%
More than 7.0%
0%
Which publicly traded US company will have the highest end-of-day market capitalization as of 30 June 2022?
86 Forecasters • 334 Forecasts
Started
Nov 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jun 30, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Alphabet (Google)
0%
Amazon
0%
Apple
100%
Microsoft
0%
Another company
0%
David Epstein
asks:
Between 29 April 2022 and 30 November 2022, will North Korea detonate a nuclear device?
64%
Chance
99 Forecasters • 325 Forecasts
Started
Apr 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 January 2023, will Amazon announce that it will spin off Amazon Web Services (AWS)?
1%
Chance
124 Forecasters • 324 Forecasts
Started
Jul 21, 2021 02:28PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
« First
‹ Prev
…
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
…
Next ›
Last »
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Publish Anonymously
Cancel