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In the News 2022

Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC (5 months)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!

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Private Superforecasting Workshop and David Epstein ask:

Will US real GDP contract in both the third quarter (Q3) and fourth quarter (Q4) of 2022?

48%

Chance
96 Forecasters • 582 Forecasts
Started Apr 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the oil and gas rig count for the Permian Basin in the first week of October 2022, according to Baker Hughes?

31 Forecasters • 219 Forecasts
Started Apr 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 07, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 275
0%
Between 275 and 325
0%
Between 326 and 375
92%
Between 376 and 425
8%
Between 426 and 475
0%
More than 475
0%
erikbays and David Epstein ask:

Before 17 December 2022, will Saudi Arabia publicly announce that it will begin accepting yuan as payment for oil from China?

9%

Chance
104 Forecasters • 286 Forecasts
Started Apr 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 17, 2022 08:01AM UTC
David Epstein asks:

What will be the value of the Green Markets Weekly North American Fertilizer Price Index for the week from 2 December 2022?

39 Forecasters • 210 Forecasts
Started Apr 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 02, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 700.00
0%
Between 700.00 and 900.00, inclusive
25%
More than 900.00 but less than 1,100.00
51%
Between 1,100.00 and 1,300.00, inclusive
22%
More than 1,300.00 but less than 1,500.00
2%
Between 1,500.00 and 1,700.00, inclusive
0%
More than 1,700.00
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the percentage increase in the producer price index (PPI) for "Self-Service Storage and Miniwarehouses" for December 2022 as compared to December 2021?

35 Forecasters • 126 Forecasts
Started Mar 30, 2022 09:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 5.0%
0%
Between 5.0% and 8.0%, inclusive
11%
More than 8.0% but less than 12.0%
45%
Between 12.0% and 15.0%, inclusive
43%
More than 15.0%
1%

How many quarters of negative real GDP growth will the European Union (EU) experience in 2022?

87 Forecasters • 325 Forecasts
Started Mar 25, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Zero
4%
One
34%
Two
49%
Three or more
13%

When will Russia and Ukraine sign or announce an agreement to end the current conflict in Ukraine?

263 Forecasters • 1250 Forecasts
Started Mar 18, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 June 2022
0%
Between 1 June 2022 and 31 July 2022
0%
Between 1 August 2022 and 30 September 2022
0%
Between 1 October 2022 and 30 November 2022
5%
Not before 1 December 2022
95%

Who will win the election for North Carolina's 13th Congressional District in 2022?

41 Forecasters • 82 Forecasts
Started Mar 18, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
29%
The Republican Party candidate
71%
Someone else
0%
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