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In the News 2022
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
(5 months)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!
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Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Between 8 April 2022 and 8 October 2022, will NATO or a NATO member state publicly accuse the People's Republic of China of having provided lethal aid to Russia after 24 February 2022 for use in Ukraine?
1%
Chance
122 Forecasters • 488 Forecasts
Started
Apr 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 08, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
and
David Epstein
ask:
Will US real GDP contract in both the third quarter (Q3) and fourth quarter (Q4) of 2022?
48%
Chance
96 Forecasters • 582 Forecasts
Started
Apr 08, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will be the oil and gas rig count for the Permian Basin in the first week of October 2022, according to Baker Hughes?
31 Forecasters • 219 Forecasts
Started
Apr 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 07, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 275
0%
Between 275 and 325
0%
Between 326 and 375
92%
Between 376 and 425
8%
Between 426 and 475
0%
More than 475
0%
erikbays
and
David Epstein
ask:
Before 17 December 2022, will Saudi Arabia publicly announce that it will begin accepting yuan as payment for oil from China?
9%
Chance
104 Forecasters • 286 Forecasts
Started
Apr 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 17, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Between 1 April 2022 and 30 September 2022, will lethal confrontations between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel (forces) of Armenia and Azerbaijan result in 100 or more fatalities?
5%
Chance
81 Forecasters • 218 Forecasts
Started
Apr 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
David Epstein
asks:
What will be the value of the Green Markets Weekly North American Fertilizer Price Index for the week from 2 December 2022?
39 Forecasters • 210 Forecasts
Started
Apr 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 02, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 700.00
0%
Between 700.00 and 900.00, inclusive
25%
More than 900.00 but less than 1,100.00
51%
Between 1,100.00 and 1,300.00, inclusive
22%
More than 1,300.00 but less than 1,500.00
2%
Between 1,500.00 and 1,700.00, inclusive
0%
More than 1,700.00
0%
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What will be the percentage increase in the producer price index (PPI) for "Self-Service Storage and Miniwarehouses" for December 2022 as compared to December 2021?
35 Forecasters • 126 Forecasts
Started
Mar 30, 2022 09:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 5.0%
0%
Between 5.0% and 8.0%, inclusive
11%
More than 8.0% but less than 12.0%
45%
Between 12.0% and 15.0%, inclusive
43%
More than 15.0%
1%
How many quarters of negative real GDP growth will the European Union (EU) experience in 2022?
87 Forecasters • 325 Forecasts
Started
Mar 25, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Zero
4%
One
34%
Two
49%
Three or more
13%
When will Russia and Ukraine sign or announce an agreement to end the current conflict in Ukraine?
263 Forecasters • 1250 Forecasts
Started
Mar 18, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 June 2022
0%
Between 1 June 2022 and 31 July 2022
0%
Between 1 August 2022 and 30 September 2022
0%
Between 1 October 2022 and 30 November 2022
5%
Not before 1 December 2022
95%
Who will win the election for North Carolina's 13th Congressional District in 2022?
41 Forecasters • 82 Forecasts
Started
Mar 18, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing
Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
The Democratic Party candidate
29%
The Republican Party candidate
71%
Someone else
0%
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