« Back to challenges

In the News 2022

Closing
Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC (6 months)
Test your forecasting mettle with questions about world politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. Expect new questions every week!

Status

Type

Sort By

What percentage of venture capital dollars will go to US startups with female-only founders in 2022, according to Crunchbase?

48 Forecasters • 243 Forecasts
Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 2.5%
62%
Between 2.5% and 2.9%, inclusive
30%
More than 2.9% but less than 3.5%
7%
3.5% or more
1%

Between 18 March 2022 and 30 December 2022, what will be the highest four-week average of US field production of crude oil?

68 Forecasters • 243 Forecasts
Started Mar 11, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 11,800 thousand b/d
0%
Between 11,800 and 12,200 thousand b/d, inclusive
14%
More than 12,200 but less than 12,600 thousand b/d
62%
Between 12,600 and 13,000 thousand b/d, inclusive
23%
More than 13,000 thousand b/d but less than 13,400 thousand b/d
1%
13,400 thousand b/d or more
0%

What will be the US office vacancy rate for the fourth quarter of 2022, according to Colliers?

45 Forecasters • 242 Forecasts
Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 12.5%
0%
Between 12.5% and 14.0%, inclusive
40%
Higher than 14.0% but lower than 15.5%
56%
Between 15.5% and 17.0%, inclusive
4%
Higher than 17.0%
0%
erikbays and David Epstein ask:

Before 17 December 2022, will Saudi Arabia publicly announce that it will begin accepting yuan as payment for oil from China?

20%

Chance
98 Forecasters • 241 Forecasts
Started Apr 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 17, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

Who will win the next Kenyan presidential election?

81 Forecasters • 237 Forecasts
Started Feb 18, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 09, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Raila Odinga
60%
William Ruto
40%
Someone else
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

As of 1 July 2022, will France and/or Germany require the wearing of face masks in indoor public places?

102 Forecasters • 234 Forecasts
Started Feb 25, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, France only
0%
Yes, Germany only
0%
Yes, both France and Germany
0%
No
100%
David Epstein asks:

What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December 2022?

61 Forecasters • 234 Forecasts
Started Apr 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 3.5%
0%
Between 3.5% and 5.0%, inclusive
0%
Higher than 5.0% but lower than 6.5%
14%
Between 6.5% and 8.0%, inclusive
59%
Higher than 8.0% but lower than 9.5%
26%
9.5% or higher
1%
JGunnCool asks:

Before 1 January 2023, will the US Senate independently expand the scope of matters for which a filibuster cannot be used?

1%

Chance
102 Forecasters • 220 Forecasts
Started Jan 21, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

What percentage of South Africa's population will be fully vaccinated against COVID-19 as of 1 September 2022?

57 Forecasters • 212 Forecasts
Started Dec 03, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 35.00%
16%
Between 35.00% and 50.00%, inclusive
84%
More than 50.00% but less than 65.00%
0%
Between 65.00% and 80.00%, inclusive
0%
More than 80.00%
0%
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Cancel