In the News 2023

Question

Forecasters

Total Forecasts

DR-R3W asks:

Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces and/or law enforcement of Russia and those of a NATO member state resulting in at least three fatalities before 12 June 2023?

Closing

Jun 12, 2023 07:01AM UTC

140

433

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will there be a complex coordinated terrorist attack (CCTA) in continental Europe either directed or executed by one or more Saheli jihadist groups resulting in at least five fatalities before 1 January 2024?

Closing

Jan 01, 2024 08:01AM UTC

111

UBS asks:

Will the percentage of departure flights at Hartsfield–Jackson Atlanta International Airport (ATL) either delayed or cancelled in June 2023 be greater than it was in June 2022?

Closing

Jul 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the New Democratic Party win a majority of seats in the 2023 Alberta Legislative Assembly elections?

Closing

Jun 29, 2023 07:01AM UTC

The Economist asks:

Will the Morena party candidate win the 2023 gubernatorial election in Mexico state (Estado de México)?

Closing

Jun 04, 2023 07:01AM UTC

132

The Economist asks:

Will the Justice and Development Party (AKP) candidate win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?

Closing

Jul 02, 2023 07:01AM UTC

253

929

DR-R3W asks:

Will the government of Belarus publicly announce or acknowledge that its armed forces have engaged in armed fighting in Ukraine before 21 October 2023?

Closing

Oct 21, 2023 07:01AM UTC

127

lsgold7 asks:

Will the city council building in Melitopol, Ukraine, be under Ukrainian control on 1 October 2023, according to the Institute for the Study of War?

Closing

Oct 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

145

Will the Chinese government publicly announce that it has approved the use of a foreign mRNA COVID-19 vaccine for use among its citizens in the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 31 May 2023?

Closing

May 31, 2023 11:59PM UTC

104

205

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the Bank of Canada's policy interest rate target exceed 4.75% before 8 June 2023?

Closing

Jun 07, 2023 07:01AM UTC

170

In the News 2023

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Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces and/or law enforcement of Russia and those of a NATO member state resulting in at least three fatalities before 12 June 2023?

Will there be a complex coordinated terrorist attack (CCTA) in continental Europe either directed or executed by one or more Saheli jihadist groups resulting in at least five fatalities before 1 January 2024?

Will the percentage of departure flights at Hartsfield–Jackson Atlanta International Airport (ATL) either delayed or cancelled in June 2023 be greater than it was in June 2022?

Will the New Democratic Party win a majority of seats in the 2023 Alberta Legislative Assembly elections?

Will the Morena party candidate win the 2023 gubernatorial election in Mexico state (Estado de México)?

Will the Justice and Development Party (AKP) candidate win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?

Will the government of Belarus publicly announce or acknowledge that its armed forces have engaged in armed fighting in Ukraine before 21 October 2023?

Will the city council building in Melitopol, Ukraine, be under Ukrainian control on 1 October 2023, according to the Institute for the Study of War?

Will the Chinese government publicly announce that it has approved the use of a foreign mRNA COVID-19 vaccine for use among its citizens in the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 31 May 2023?

Will the Bank of Canada's policy interest rate target exceed 4.75% before 8 June 2023?

In the News 2023

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