Oscars small

The Oscars® 2017

Can you predict who will take home Oscar gold this year? Join our lightning challenge to forecast the winners of 11 major categories.

The

Closing
Feb 28, 2017 07:59AM UTC
100days 2

The First 100 Days

The Washington Post's Monkey Cage blog wants to know:
What will President T...

Closing
May 01, 2017 06:59AM UTC
Self driving car and electric car

Disruptions from Vehicle Innovations (2016)

Innovation in automaking has historically been driven by a handful of large and storied automakers. However, recent technological developments promising to accele...

Closing
Jan 01, 2017 07:59AM UTC
Ewplogo

Early Warning Project 2016

Help inform policymakers and NGOs on the risk of mass killing in countries around the world.

The Early Warning Project produces risk assessments of the potenti...

Closing
Jan 01, 2017 07:59AM UTC
Election pic2

Monkey Cage US Election 2016

The 2016 election cycle has confounded political observers and even a few of the candidates as well. This is where you come in.

We'll start the Challenge off w...

Closing
Jan 21, 2017 07:59AM UTC
Economist world in 2016

The Economist's World in 2016

Questions about political, economic and other events for 2016. This Challenge will test the forecasting prowess of readers of The Economist's annual compi...

Closing
Aug 01, 2016 04:00PM UTC
Balloons 25737 640

Just for Fun (2015-2016)

Forecasting can be Fun! Want a break from war, economics, and electoral politics? Test your predictive abilities on a range of questions about sports, entertainme...

Closing
Jan 01, 2017 07:59AM UTC
151002b iran

Polarization v. Prediction: Iran (2016)

Philip Tetlock and Peter Scoblic argue that asking falsifiable questions and forecasting on them has the potential to moderate polarizing policy debates because a...

Closing
Oct 19, 2016 06:59AM UTC