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The Oscars® 2017

Can you predict who will take home Oscar gold this year? Join our lightning challenge to forecast the winners of 11 major categories.


Feb 28, 2017 07:59AM UTC
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The First 100 Days

The Washington Post's Monkey Cage blog wants to know:
What will President T...

May 01, 2017 06:59AM UTC
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The World in 2017

Are you a Superforecaster®?

What do you think will happen in the year 2017? Here's your chance to make a forecast.

Join The Economist's Th...

Oct 01, 2017 01:00PM UTC
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Disruptions from Vehicle Innovations (2016)

Innovation in automaking has historically been driven by a handful of large and storied automakers. However, recent technological developments promising to accele...

Jan 01, 2017 07:59AM UTC

Early Warning Project 2016

Help inform policymakers and NGOs on the risk of mass killing in countries around the world.

The Early Warning Project produces risk assessments of the potenti...

Jan 01, 2017 07:59AM UTC
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Monkey Cage US Election 2016

The 2016 election cycle has confounded political observers and even a few of the candidates as well. This is where you come in.

We'll start the Challenge off w...

Jan 21, 2017 07:59AM UTC
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The Economist's World in 2016

Questions about political, economic and other events for 2016. This Challenge will test the forecasting prowess of readers of The Economist's annual compi...

Aug 01, 2016 04:00PM UTC
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Just for Fun (2015-2016)

Forecasting can be Fun! Want a break from war, economics, and electoral politics? Test your predictive abilities on a range of questions about sports, entertainme...

Jan 01, 2017 07:59AM UTC
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Polarization v. Prediction: Iran (2016)

Philip Tetlock and Peter Scoblic argue that asking falsifiable questions and forecasting on them has the potential to moderate polarizing policy debates because a...

Oct 19, 2016 06:59AM UTC