Will an independent or third-party candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the U.S. presidential election?
meepbobeep made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
80% (-10%)
Yes, but Donald Trump will not be that independent/third party candidate or be among them
20% (+10%)
No
0% (+0%)
Yes, and Donald Trump will be that independent/third party candidate or will be among them

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