This has closed as YES on superforecaster platform, backdated Nov.23. I agree with decision but really wish that the question's intent were made clear from the get go. I still don't expect any remotely functional S-300 in Iran this year.

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made a comment:

I am not holding my breath for GJI reversing the course but I sure would welcome a change to my Brier score of 2.0 on this question :-)

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