Started Nov 02, 2018 03:59AM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC

What will be the percent change in the U.S. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) for the 12 months ending in December 2018?

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) over the past 12 months is reported monthly for all items, before seasonal adjustment, via a press release found under "Consumer Price Index Summary", and for the past 20 years on this graph by selecting "All items". In September 2018, the CPI-U all items index over the last 12 months increased 2.3 percent (The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)). This question will be suspended on 31 December 2018 and closed when the relevant data are first released, scheduled for the first half of January 2019 (BLS, BLS).

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Name Probability
Less than 2.0% 1%
Between 2.0% and 2.2%, inclusive 24%
Between 2.3% and 2.5%, inclusive 50%
Between 2.6% and 2.8%, inclusive 24%
More than 2.8% 0%

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