Started Nov 16, 2018 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

What percentage of all domestic U.S. equity funds will be outperformed by the S&P Composite 1500 index for the one-year period ending 30 June 2019?

Outcome will be determined by the S&P Dow Jones Indices' SPIVA U.S. Mid-Year 2019 Scorecard, typically published in September. For the one-year period ending 30 June 2018, 57.98% of all domestic U.S. equity funds were outperformed by the S&P Composite 1500 index. The relevant figure for 2018 can be found on page 4 of the SPIVA U.S. Mid-Year 2018 Scorecard, in the table labeled Report 1, first row, "All Domestic Funds". Published reports can be found here.

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Name Probability
Less than 40.00% 6%
Between 40.00% and 60.00%, inclusive 52%
More than 60.00% but less than 80.00% 36%
80.00% or more 6%

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