What percentage of all domestic U.S. equity funds will be outperformed by the S&P Composite 1500 index for the one-year period ending 30 June 2019?
Started
Nov 16, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
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Outcome will be determined by the S&P Dow Jones Indices' SPIVA U.S. Mid-Year 2019 Scorecard, typically published in September. For the one-year period ending 30 June 2018, 57.98% of all domestic U.S. equity funds were outperformed by the S&P Composite 1500 index. The relevant figure for 2018 can be found on page 4 of the SPIVA U.S. Mid-Year 2018 Scorecard, in the table labeled Report 1, first row, "All Domestic Funds". Published reports can be found here.
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The question closed "More than 60.00% but less than 80.00%" with a closing date of 1 July 2019 (Spindicies.com).
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than 40.00% | 1% | |
Between 40.00% and 60.00%, inclusive | 56% | |
More than 60.00% but less than 80.00% | 41% | |
80.00% or more | 2% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 323 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
Number of Forecasts | 626 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |