The Economist and 
Fareed Zakaria GPS ask
Before 1 October 2019, will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia?
Started
Nov 30, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Tags
Mohammed bin Salman has moved to consolidate power in the Kingdom, but has recently been under scrutiny for the murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi (The Economist, The Guardian). In the past the Crown Prince has temporarily taken on the title of Vice Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques when the King has been unavailable; this will not count as ceasing to be Crown Prince.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 October 2019.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, by becoming the King of Saudi Arabia | 6% | |
| Yes, without becoming the King of Saudi Arabia | 1% | |
| No | 93% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 1992 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 2738 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |
